With the 2015 Preakness Stakes days away, everyone is wondering if American Pharoah has the legs to win the Triple Crown. In addition to Bob Baffert’s Kentucky Derby hero being the only one with a chance, there are numerous reasons why American Pharoah not only can win the Triple Crown, but probably should win the Triple Crown.
The above statement seems ridiculous. No horse has won the Triple Crown since Affirmed in 1978. Some great horses have tried, including Spectacular Bid, Big Brown, Charismatic, Smarty Jones and California Chrome in 2014, only to fail in the Test of Champions, the 1 ½ mile Belmont Stakes.
2015 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds
Post time: 6:18 p.m. Saturday at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. Purse: $1.5 million. Distance: 1 3/16 miles. TV: NBC. Radio: ESPN 680 in Louisville.
post position. horse (weight) jockey/trainer odds
1. American Pharoah (126) Espinoza/Baffert 4-5
2. Dortmund (126) Garcia/Baffert 7-2
3. Mr. Z (126) Nakatani/Lukas 20-1
4. Danzig Moon (126) Leparoux/Casse 15-1
5. Tale of Verve (126) Rosario/Stewart 30-1
6. Bodhisattva (126) McCarthy/Corrales 20-1
7. Divining Rod (126) Castellano/Delcaour 12-1
8. Firing Line (126) Stevens/Callaghan 4-1
American Pharoah isn’t any of those horses. Some may look at California Chrome and assume that winning the Triple Crown is impossible. But as good as California Chrome was last year, the comparison between the last 2 Kentucky Derby winners just isn’t possible. The reason has to do with competition. American Pharoah pummeled his competition in the Kentucky Derby. He throttled Dortmund. He ran right past Firing Line. Materiality and Carpe Diem, Todd Pletcher’s 2 best chances at a Derby victory, were left in the 2014 Eclipse Award winning two-year-old champion’s wake.
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) May 14, 2015
Last year, California Chrome had to face Tonalist in the Belmont. While California Chrome was a great story, a horse from a $2,500 stud with a chance at the Crown, American Pharoah is breeding royalty. His father, Pioneerof the Nile, won the Preakness Stakes and finished second in the Kentucy Derby to Mine That Bird, one of the biggest longshots to ever win the Run for the Roses. Pioneerof the Nile was sired by Empire Maker, who on the Belmont Stakes in 2003 to end Funny Cide’s quest for a Triple Crown.
Since no Tonalist appears ready to burst onto the scene, and American Pharoah has already handily beaten the best of his generation, a Triple Crown looks not only plausible but something that should happen. That’s how much better American Pharoah is than the rest of his competition. Can American Pharoah win the Triple Crown? American Pharoah should win the Triple Crown.