After watching what transpired at Churchill Downs this past weekend, it should come as no surprise that California Chrome is the heavy favorite in the 2014 Preakness Odds. The upstart horse from the upstart ranch with the upstart owners is an eye popping -130 favorite for the May 17th race. All eyes will be on the next Triple Crown hopeful, who ran an outstanding Kentucky Derby and looked completely untouchable this season.
To help put things in clear context, the next best horse on the board is Social Inclusion at +1400, a horse that did not run at the Derby but is every bit a contender. Social Inclusion didn’t make the cut for points required to enter the Derby. However, he has smashed the competition in races he’s actually entered. The major concern with Social Inclusion is that the colt seems prone to injury. He is battling recently bruised hoof that caused him to miss the Sir Bear.
Early 2014 Preakness Stakes Odds:
- California Chrome, 3-2
- Social Inclusion, 4-1
- Bayern, 6-1
- Commanding Curve, 6-1
- Dynamic Impact: 8-1
- Ride On Curlin, 12-1
- Pablo Del Monte, 12-1
- Ring Weekend, 15-1
- Kid Cruz, 15-1
Aside from Social Inclusion, there are a slew of +2000 horses on the board right now who will have their 2014 Preakness Odds updated as we get closer to the showdown at Pimlico. This includes Commanding Curve, who stunned the field by placing second, and Danza who showed at Churchill Downs. Hopportunity is also lumped in to this price point after dropping out of the Derby due to a foot injury that will be healed by the time this race comes around.
Most notably is that right now, the longest odds belong to horses like Cady Boy (+4000) and Vinceremos (+5000). This suggests that there is no true longshot in the field, but organizers are still confirming entrants. Even then, the 2014 Preakness Odds are therefore another case of the favorite…and then everyone else.
Perhaps the only reason to bet against California Chrome is the length of the Pimlico track. The 1 ¼ mile at Churchill compared to the 1 3/16 may not seem like a huge difference, but it is worth noting that Chrome was a bit of a late charger and won the Derby by a neck against Commanding Curve. He may be better suited for longer hauls than mild sprints.
All this being said, this is a great time to bet on Commanding Curve at 20-to-1 unless you prefer the massive public bet that California Chrome represents. It remains difficult to bet against the Derby winner when it comes to the 2014 Preakness Stakes odds, but Curve was oh-so-close last Saturday and could shock the world yet again as a slimmer longshot in two weekends.