Early 2016 Belmont Stakes Expert PicksJosh Bailey
The early 2016 Belmont Stakes betting odds are out. After dominating the Preakness Stakes, Exaggerator has been set as the 12/10 favorite to win the Belmont, the Third Jewel of the Triple Crown, on June 11.
Exaggerator was brilliant closing over the mud, his preferred surface, to take down Nyquist, a horse that had dominated him in all of their previous head to head showdowns. Exaggerator could end up being a bigger favorite by post-time than his current 12/10 betting odds. Keep reading for more information on favorite Exaggerator as well as the current smart Belmont betting pick and current longshot picks.
A Closer Look At My Early 2016 Belmont Stakes Expert Picks
What: Belmont Stakes 2016
When: Saturday, June 11, 2016
Start Time: 5:45 PM ET
Where: Elmont, N.Y.
Stadium: Belmont Park
Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra
The Favorite to Win the Belmont Stakes: Exaggerator 9/5
Save for a smidgen of bad luck in the Kentucky Derby, where jockey Kent Desormeaux had to stop Exaggerator’s momentum for just a second or two, the Preakness and Santa Anita Derby winner may have won the Run for the Roses. But, that’s horse racing. Exaggerator’s win the Preakness Stakes was breathtaking. He did benefit from an incredibly fast pace. Still, horseplayers should make no mistake. At this point, he appears to be the best horse of this three-year-old class.
One thing to keep in mind is that the Belmont Stakes will be Exaggerator’s sixth race of the year. It’s only a matter of time before he’s over the top, meaning that he’ll need a vacation soon. He might not be worth a bet at around 3/2 or less odds.
The Smart Pick to Win the Belmont Stakes: Destin 6/1
This is Todd Pletcher’s modus operandi when it comes to the Belmont Stakes. He finished second in the Belmont with both Bluegrass Cat in 2006 and Stay Thirsty in 2011 by skipping the Preakness. Both of those horses didn’t run very well in the Kentucky Derby. That’s the same thing with Destin. Another horse that didn’t run well in the Kentucky Derby for Pletcher but went on to run well in the Belmont is Palace Malice in 2013. Palace Malice won the Belmont after skipping the Preakness and finishing 12 at Churchill Downs. Destin’s a talented horse that probably needed an extra prep in order to be ready for the Kentucky Derby. He actually looked like a possible winner at the top of the stretch but flattened out to finish 6th. That’s not bad. He’s got a big shot.
The Longshot Bet to Win the Belmont Stakes: Lani 20/1
Looney Lani earned a reputation at Churchill Downs in the run-up to the Derby by being, shall we say, overly excited when he took to the track for morning workouts. The Churchill noted crew employed the euphemism “studdish,” since he certainly appeared more interested in breeding than breezing on several mornings. Some publicity photos were even photoshopped to remove the protruding evidence of Lani’s ardor.
|Post/Horse||Morning Line Odds|
|1. Governor Malibu||12-1|
|3. Cherry Wine||8-1|
|7. Seeking the Soul||30-1|
|8. Forever d’Oro||30-1|
|9. Trojan Nation||30-1|
|12. Brody’s Cause||20-1|