Early 2016 Preakness Stakes Expert PicksJosh Bailey
UPDATED 5/18/2016 with Post Positions & Morning Line Odds
Betting is already under way on the 2016 Preakness Stakes Morning line odds. The race takes place on Saturday, May 21. Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist is a huge 5/7 favorite in the sports book to take down his three-year-old rivals and march into Belmont with a chance to win the Triple Crown. Nyquist should be the favorite. He dominated his rivals in the Derby after winning the first 7 races of his career. The Doug O’Neil trained horse is undefeated in 8 lifetime races. His ability to relax right off of a strong pace will make him the odds on favorite at Pimlico on May 21. Keep reading for Preakness Stakes betting analysis along with my expert betting picks.
A Closer Look At My Early 2016 Preakness Stakes Expert Picks
What: 2016 Preakness Stakes
When: Saturday, May 21, 2016
Post Time: 6:19 PM ET
Where: Baltimore, MD
Stadium: Pimlico Race Course
Stream: NBC Sports Live
The Favorite To Win The Preakness Stakes: Nyquist 3/5
What was unbelievable in the Kentucky Derby was how Nyquist ran the first quarter mile in :22.58 along with Danzing Candy. That’s an amazingly fast quarter mile. Nyquist was still only about 3 lengths behind a :45.72 half-mile. He was at Danzing Candy’s throat-latch at the 6 furlong marker. They ran those 6 furlongs in 1:10.4. That’s sprinter speed. Then, Nyquist kept going. He won the Derby in 2:01.31. It was the fastest Kentucky Derby in 13 years. There’s no reason to believe that any horse that ran against Nyquist in the Derby will beat him. But 2 new shooters will be on the scene. Those new shooters make up my smart bet to win the Preakness and my longshot bet to win the second jewel of the Triple Crown.
The Smart Bet To Win The Preakness Stakes: Stradivari 8/1
New shooters don’t often win the Preakness Stakes. Then again, new shooters in the Preakness aren’t often as talented as this three-year-old Medaglia D’Oro sired colt trained by Todd Pletcher. Stradivari ran one of the most impressive races of the year when winning an allowance at Keeneland on April 17. The race was at 1 1/8 miles. Although the fractions were much slower than the fractions in the Kentucky Derby, Danzing Candy doesn’t figure to be in the race on May 21. Stradivari should sit a good trip right outside of Nyquist. He showed an incredible ability to close and kick away from his rivals in the allowance race. I love his chances to win the Preakness at nice overlaid odds.
The Longshot Bet To Win The Preakness Stakes: Collected 10/1
This talented son of City Zip was ultra-impressive when winning the Grade 3 Lexington Stakes at 1 1/16 miles in his last. He’s from a Johannesburg broodmare, meaning that he should have no trouble going 1 3/16 miles in the Preakness Stakes. Like Stradivari, he runs close to the pace. Bob Baffert trains this guy. That should give any longshot bettors confidence that he’ll be on his toes on May 21. I think he’ll have a shot to take down Nyquist if the race sets up for him.
2016 Preakness Stakes Post Positions & Morning Line Odds
- Cherry Wine 20-1
- Uncle Lino 20-1
- Nyquist 3-5
- Awesome Speed 30-1
- Exaggerator 3-1
- Lani 30-1
- Collected 10-1
- Laoban 30-1
- Abiding Star 30-1
- Fellowship 30-1
- Stradivari 8-1