Pablo del Monte Amongst 2014 Preakness Stakes Sleeper PicksNoah Williams
It’s my job to analyze probabilities and determine the most likely outcome, but even I can’t help but get roped in on the idea of quick buck, which is why we’re here discussing the 2014 Preakness Stakes longshots. California Chrome still leads the fray as an overwhelming -160 favorite. That may not seem like a large number to you casual track bettors, but it is.
2014 Preakness Stakes Morning Line Odds ordered by post position.
- Dynamic Impact, 12-1
- General A Rod, 15-1
- California Chrome, 3-5
- Ring Weekend, 20-1
- Bayern, 10-1
- Ria Antonia, 30-1
- Kid Cruz, 20-1
- Social Inclusion, 5-1
- Pablo Del Monte, 20-1
- Ride On Curlin, 10-1
Trailing California Chrome are Social Inclusion at +400 and Bayern at +800. The numbers on those two horses might seem odd given that neither ran at the Kentucky Derby, but that’s how dominant the winner of that race is. California Chrome is literally scaring away the competition.
“Only two other times in the past 34 years have as few as three Derby horses been wheeled back two weeks later in to the Triple Crown’s middle leg at Pimlico. That was in 2006 and 2008, when unbeaten Barbaro and Big Brown came in off impressive Derby victories and seemed to tower over the competition.” (Credit: Baltimore Courier-Journal)
That doesn’t bode well for the long list of 2014 Preakness Stakes longshots, depending on how you define the term. Horses come from out of nowhere all the time. That’s the nature of the sport. Even California Chrome, who had done enough heading in to the Kentucky Derby to earn the top spot on the betting board, was a relative unknown to the general masses and had his doubters.
Now nobody is questioning this champion’s pedigree, which makes throwing money at the other horses on the board a bit of a harrowing ordeal. However, that’s only if we’re talking straight bets. The real fun in horse track betting is the exotics, which are the pony’s version of parlays for you newcomers.
Stacking any multi-horse exotic or box that includes California Chrome, Bayern and then a horse with longer odds could be a fun play worth taking a small shot at, because the returns here are enormous. Here are a few of the 2014 Preakness Stakes longshots worth shaking a stick at:
- General A Rod (+2000) – The horse with the strange choice of name (aren’t they all) finished a woeful 11th at the Kentucky Derby but was also beaten up thoroughly in traffic. At 20-to-1, General A Rod has some really attractive 2014 Preakness Stakes longshot value, especially with Javier Castellano at the helm. Castellano is one of the best riders in the world, if not the very best this current year.
- Pablo del Monte (+2400) – This is the colt that’s bagging a ton of love on the board. Pablo del Monte didn’t run at the Kentucky Derby because his trainer, Wesley Ward, didn’t like the idea of him running out of Post 20 which is sort of fair. Given a better draw and some mighty speed, Pablo del Monte could very well be the biggest surprise at Pimlico in Baltimore. He is one of my favorite bets overall along with Bayern and Chrome himself.
- Ria Antonia (+3500) – This horse is filly so don’t go bonkers, but the real inside lead here is that she’ll be jockeyed by the great Calvin Borel. She did not run well at the Kentucky Oaks, but Ria Antonia is much more capable than her 6th place finish suggests. When you talk about 2014 Preakness Stakes longshots, they don’t come much longer than Ria Antonia and I like that her owners have the confidence to put her out against the big boys in the second leg of the Triple Crown.
Happy betting Preakness Stakes fans.