While superstar thoroughbred California Chrome is clearly expected to bring home the bacon at the 2014 Belmont Stakes and become the 12th Triple Crown winner in history, as horse racing aficionados everywhere already know, nothing is ever etched in stone when it comes to thoroughbred horse racing.
— FOX Sports Live (@FOXSportsLive) June 4, 2014
Having said that, I’ve got six bold predictions that could very well rock the sport of horse racing, at least for a day, this coming Saturday, June 7 when the 2014 Belmont Stakes gets underway live from Belmont Race Track in Elmont, NY.
Updated Belmont Stakes Morning Line Odds
- Medal Count (20-1)
- California Chrome (2-5; opening morning line was 3-5)
- Matterhorn (30-1)
- Commanding Curve (15-1)
- Ride On Curlin (12-1)
- Matuszak (50-1; opening morning line was 30-1)
- Samraat (20-1)
- Commissioner (30-1; opening morning line was 20-1)
- Wicked Strong (10-1; opening morning line was 6-1)
- General a Rod (30-1; opening morning line was 20-1)
- Tonalist (8-1)
My Top Six Predictions For The 2014 Belmont Stakes
6. Pick A 20-1 Thoroughbred To Complete Your Belmont Stakes Superfecta!
I’m going on record right now to say that I believe one of the three, 20-1 underdogs will come in fourth place at the very least to complete a lot of bettors’ superfectas on Saturday.
General A Rod 20-1
I’d say things are looking solid for General a Rod heading into the 2014 Belmont Stakes, seeing as how this thoroughbred finished fourth at the Preakness Stakes last month after finishing a disappointing 11th at the Kentucky Derby on May 3. General A Rod finished a respective, first, second and third in his first three races of the year, all at Gulfstream Park.
This 3-year-old colt finished second at the Peter Pan-G2 on May 10th and has had a inconsistent 2014 so far, winning at Gulfstream park in January before winding up with respective finishes of 6th, 3rd, sixth again and the aforementioned 2nd.
Medal Count 20-1
This mount started off the year in fine fashion, winning his first race in 2014 before finishing fifth at the Fountain of Youth-G2 at Gulfstream Park in February. This 3-year-old colt bounced back nicely to win at the same track on April 4 before finishing an impressive second at Keeneland almost two weeks later. Medal Count then finished a disappointing eighth in the Kentucky Derby last month but he didn’t run at the Preakness and could be primed for a surprising finish.
My Pick: I’m going with Medal Count to come in 4th ath the 2014 Belmont Stakes
5. Bet Wicked Strong To Show At The Belmont
How about Wicked Strong for third place people? This 3-year-old colt finished fourth at the Kentucky Derby and sat out of the Preakness a couple of weeks later. This thoroughbred also finished first at the Wood Memorial-G1 in April and has me thinking third place could be a virtual lock.
4. Ride On Curlin Will Place At The Belmont
If you really want to know…I’ll admit that I’m absolutely sick to my stomach that I’m picking Ride On Curlin to finish second, seeing as how he almost ran California Chrome down at the Preakness on May 17. Nevertheless, I’m sticking with my pick seeing as how this colt hasn’t finished first since his very first race of the year.
Still, I wouldn’t be surprised if Ride On Curlin won the Belmont, seeing as how this thoroughbred has finished in the top three in five of his six races this season, excluding his disappointing seventh place finish at the Kentucky Derby.
3. Don’t Bet On Samraat At The 2014 Belmont
The three-year-old colt didn’t run at the Preakness after finishing fifth at the Kentucky Derby. This is a pretty bold prediction seeing as how Samraat finished first in each of his first two races of 2014 before a second place finish at Aqueduct just prior to the first leg of the Triple Crown.
2. California Chrome Will Be The 2014 Belmont Stakes Winner
Ooh…I’m really going out on a limb by predicting favored California Chrome will win the Belmont Stakes and Triple Crown. No, actually…I am. I mean, I know California Chrome is the prohibitive favorite to win this race and become the first Triple Crown champion since Affirmed in 1978, but the fact of the matter is that the odds are actually against ‘Chrome’ heading into the Belmont Stakes.
Since 1919, only 11 horses have won the Triple Crown. The incredible accomplishment takes place within a five-week span and takes places at three different tracks and three different distances. Today’s 32-year gap between Triple Crown winners is the longest drought in the series’ history.
Still, I’m banking on California Chrome to bring it home by narrowly winning the Belmont Stakes. He’s a perfect 5-for-5 on the year and will be running out of the No.2 post position. I see no reason to believe he won’t remain undefeated…unless…
1. The Only Horse That Will Challenge Chrome at the 2014 Belmont Is Tonalist
I know a lot of people think that if any horse is going to upset California Chrome at the 2014 Belmont Stakes, then it’s likely going to be Ride On Curlin’ who nearly ran down the potential Triple Crown winner at last month’s Preakness. However, I’m really impressed with this colt and I believe he may have the best opportunity to upset California Chrome of any horse in the field. Tonalist has finished first in two of three races this year, including the Peter Pan-G2 on May 10th.