Noah Top Dark Horses To Bet At The Belmont

Top Dark Horses To Bet At The Belmont

The 2015 Belmont Stakes Morning Odds are out. A $1.5 million purse is on the line. Derby & Preakness winner American Pharoah is one leg away from the elusive Triple Crown, but standing between the 3-year old colt and the winners circle are seven other runners and 12 furlongs (1.5 miles).

Which of these other seven dark horse, longshots have the legs and heart to beat American Pharoah?

Frosted, the Wood Memorial Stakes winner, was made the second Morning Line odds choice at 5-1 coming out of the No. 6 hole at the 2015 Belmont Stakes. He was a fast-closing fourth in the Kentucky Derby and skipped the Preakness to directly jump to the Belmont t play spoiler.

Materiality, a Todd Pletcher trainee who won the Florida Derby this spring, also skipped the Preakness after a sixth-pace finish at Churchill Downs and is 6-1 on the morning line. He drew the outside No. 8 post position.

Pletcher has another other horse running in thise year’s Belmont: Madefromlucky, who won the Peter Pan Stakes over the Belmont track on May 9.

Trainer Nick Zito has thwarted TWO Triple Crown hopefuls with a pair of dark horse longshots: Da’Tara (39-1) in 2008 and Birdstone (34-1) in 2004. He is hoping, one of his ponies has an upset in the tank with the 30-1 Frammento running from post position No. 4.

Top Dark Horse Bets To Beat American Pharoah At The Belmont

2015 Belmont Stakes
Date: June. 6, 2015 
Start Time: 6:40 p.m. ET 
Location: Belmont Park, Elmont, New York
TV Info: NBC
Stream: NBC Sports Live Extra
Distance: 1 1⁄2 miles (12 furlongs)
Purse: US $1.5 million – 1st: $800,000
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Keen Ice, 20/1 (pictured)

It’s hard for me to not love this horse’s move in the Kentucky Derby. Jockey Kent Desormeaux must have thought that the pace was going to back up on him, that’s why he had Keen Ice so far behind at the second call. What really killed Desormeaux’s chances at getting this horse into the superfecta was having to wait, going 5-wide and then altering his bid. With a cleaner trip, Keen Ice definitely would have gotten into the Top 4 at least, if not the Top 3. It takes a lot for a horse to start and stop like that. Keen ice is the underdog to bet if you don’t like the top 3 choices: American Pharoah, Materiality and Frosted.  

Frammento, 30/1

He didn’t pick his feet up at all in the Kentucky Derby, but he had some excuses. For starters, he had to go 7-wide. Then, he got bumped late. One other issue is that Corey Nakatani rode him in the Kentucky Derby. Nakatani is one of the best jockeys on the planet but he was recently injured. It’s going to take Nakatani some time to get back to his previous form. The switch from Nakatani to Mike Smith should help Frammento stay closer to the pace. Betting against Nick Zito in any race in New York is tough to do. Zito knows how to win on his home tracks. Frammento has a shot.

Madefromlucky, 12/1

He might be the top underdog pick if not for the fact that I believe he’ll end up as the wise guy’s choice in this. The Peter Pan win was a nice victory for Madefromlucky. He closed gallantly to pick up the victory and it was sort of never in doubt. Todd Pletcher trains. Everything that Pletcher throws to the track at Belmont is hitting. The man is on fire. This could be his best shot at the Belmont win, not Materiality.

Post Positions and Morning Line Odds each horse running in the 2015 Belmont Stakes:

Post Position Horse Jockey Trainer Morning Line Odds
1 Mubtaahij Irad Ortiz Jr. Michael de Kock 10-1
2 Tale of Verve Gary Stevens Dallas Stewart 15-1
3 Madefromlucky Javier Casellano Todd Pletcher 12-1
4 Frammento Mike Smith Nick Zito 30-1
5 American Pharoah Victor Espinoza Bob Baffert 3-5
6 Frosted Joel Rosario Kiarin McLaughlin 5-1
7 Keen Ice Kent Desormeaux Dale Romans 20-1
8 Materiality John Velazquez Todd Pletcher 6-1

Belmont Stakes Fun Facts

Speed record:
2:24.00 – Secretariat (1973)

Record Victory Margin:
31 lengths – Secretariat (1973)

Most wins by a jockey:
6 – Jim McLaughlin, Eddie Arcaro

Most wins by a trainer:
8 – James G. Rowe, Sr.

Most wins by an owner:
6 – Belair Stud (1930, 1932, 1935, 1936, 1939, 1955)
6 – James R. Keene (1879, 1901, 1904, 1907, 1908, 1910)