MLB Week 22 Best Bets

2014 World Series Betting Odds & Analysis

October is here and that means only two things. Everyone will be looking for a slutty nurse costume and its time for the World Series. The NLDS and ALDS Wild-Card games are already set.

What happens next is anybodies idea, but if the MLB post-season oddsmakers are right, two Los Angeles teams will be the only ones left standing when the World Series starts in late October, in a “Freeway Series.”

But don’t overlook the discussion of a “Beltway Series” from out east east, where two teams — the Washington Nationals and the Baltimore Orioles — are coming off strong seasons. And throw in the St. Louis Cardinals and Detroit Tigers, who will be focused on derailing everyone else’s 2014 World Series betting dreams, and this year’s October will definately be a classic.

Okay, with that said – and the start of the postseason a mere matter of hours away, let’s get started.

Which 2014 MLB Teams Have the Best Chance of Beating Their World Series Betting Odds?

Detroit Tigers +450

When you’ve got the second-best offense in all of baseball (4.7 rpg) and the game’s best hitter in Miguel Cabrera (.325, 25 HRs) then you’re going to have a shot. Still, if the Tigers didn’t get it done in each of the last two seasons when Cabrera was a virtual one-man wrecking crew, I’m not sure they will now.

Los Angeles Dodgers +450

The Dodgers have plenty of star power thanks to superstars like Clayton Kershaw and Yasiel Puig, but if L.A.’s bullpen falters, the Dodgers’ postseason will almost assuredly come to a very quick end.

Washington Nationals +450

The Nationals have pitching for days! Washington tied Seattle for the No. 1 spot in runs allowed (3.4) and also finished third in the NL in runs scored (4.2). The Nats have been built from the ground up and would appear to have a great shot at winning the NL, even if they don’t get the same amount of love from national baseball pundits that some other teams do.

Los Angeles Angles +500

It’s hard not to like the Angels when they’ve got superstars like Albert Pujols, Mike Trout and Jered Weaver leading them, but once again, if the Halos don’t get the quality pitching they’ll need from everyone else not named Weaver, then they could have an early exit for the postseason as well.

Baltimore Orioles +700

The O’s are ranked sixth in the AL in scoring (4.4 rpg) and third in runs allowed (3.7). After seeing this team play to its full potential for the last two seasons, I wouldn’t put anything beyond Baltimore at this point. Talk about scrappy!

St. Louis Cardinals +800

The Cardinals don’t have nearly as many big-name starts as they once had, but what the St. Louis does have is a competent defense that ranks fourth in the NL in runs allowed (3.7). Now, if only the Cards can put up more than the 3.8 runs per game they averaged during the regular season – then they could surprise.

Oakland A’s +12000

The A’s have arguably the game’s best defense as they finished second in the AL in runs allowed (3.5) during the regular season. Oakland also finished third in runs per game (4.5) but they’ve struggled to score like crazy over the last two months while getting shut out a league-high seven times during the stretch.

Pittsburgh Pirates +1400

The Pirates can score runs like they’re going out of style, ranking 10th in runs per game (4.21) and sixth in home runs (156). Pittsburgh’s postseason success will come down to whether or not their eighth-ranked team ERA (3.49) holds up.

San Francisco Giants +1400

The Giants are very solid both, offensively defensively as they finished fifth in the NL in runs per game (4.1) and sixth in runs allowed (3.8). Still, it seems like something is missing from this year’s team, though I will admit that Frisco didn’t look like a legitimate World Series contender – before they won it all back in both, 2010 and 2012.

Kansas City Royals +1600

The Royals don’t hit the ball for power, nor do they have a single player with more than 75 RBIs. But what Kansas City does have (the game’s best defense and bullpen) could propel them into the World Series even if no one expects it.

Happy MLB post-season!

Posted in MLB