Can Aaron Judge keep wowing baseball fans everywhere with his prolific home runs?
Will the powerful Giancarlo Stanton bring home the bacon as the prohibitive favorite?
Will either of the aforementioned pair be upset in the 2017 MLB Home Run Derby?
Whether you’re an avid follower of Major League Baseball or more of a casual fan that only watches and wagers when the ‘big’ events take place, you’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in with a winning wager on this year’s home run derby thanks to the expert analysis that you’re about to get on this year’s fun-filled event.
If you love the long ball (who doesn’t?) but you haven’t kept up with the annual Home Run Derby in a few years, then you need to know that the exciting contest has changed from the previous ‘10-out’ format to a timed event that awards bonus time for extra long homers, which, in turn, has led to more swings and more home runs.
The 2017 Home Run Derby will get underway on Monday, July 10 at 8:00 PM ET, live from Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. Okay, let’s get on with my analysis.
MLB All-Star Game Home Run Derby Odds & Picks
- Giancarlo Stanton +120
- Aaron Judge +165
- Cody Bellinger +900
- Mike Moustakas +1400
- Charlie Blackmon +1400
- Miguel Sano +1400
- Justin Bour +1600
- Gary Sanchez +2000
What: 2017 Home Run Derby
When: Monday, July 10th, 2017
Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
Where: Miami, Florida
Stadium: Marlins Park
The Betting Favorite To Win The Home Run Derby: Giancarlo Stanton +120
There’s a reason why Giancarlo Stanton is the favorite despite being tied for fourth place in home runs with three other players. You see, Stanton won last year’s derby by blasting an insane 61 home runs in three rounds. The 27-year-old superstar hit the 20 hardest-hit long balls in last year’s event and could get some extra adrenaline as he competes in this year’s event in front of his home crowd. In last year’s finals, the fifth-seeded Stanton jacked 20 home runs to beat defending champion Todd Frazier 20-13.
"He was hitting moonshots," marveled Frazier afterward. "I thought I was a high school hitter compared to him hitting them that far. I said it was going to be one of the most epic home run battles, and I think it really stepped up to the name."
The Smart Bet To Win The Home Run Derby: Aaron Judge +163
There’s no other way to say it except, Aaron Judge has taken Major League Baseball by storm as a hard-hitting, 25-year-old rookie for the New York Yankees this season. Not only has Judge smacked a league-leading 29 home runs to date, but he’s also hitting an incendiary .331 so I wouldn’t expect a lot of swings and misses in his first Home Run Derby.
Judge hit a 495-foot homer on June 11. It, according to Statcast, is the longest home run of the season and the fastest as well as it left the park traveling at an estimated 121.1 miles per hour. Judge has tied the legendary Joe DiMaggio for the most home runs by a rookie in Yankees history and will set a new franchise mark at some point in the very near future.
Everything is coming up roses for Aaron Judge this season and I see no reason, why he shouldn’t be able to win the Home Run derby, even as a first-timer. Judge has youth, size, swagger and a boatload of raw power. While I’m expecting another fantastic effort out of Giancarlo Stanton, I like Aaron Judge to build on his already growing popularity by bagging the 2017 Home Run Derby title.
The Longshot Pick To Win The Home Run Derby: Gary Sanchez +2000
Sanchez may have ‘just’ 13 home runs right now, but he’s a legitimate threat that is offering great value, seeing as how he smacked nine homers last month after returning from a right biceps strain that sidelined him for a month. The 24-year-old Sanchez hit 20 homers in just 53 games as a rookie last season and has been on fire at the plate over the last month by hitting a robust .329 over the stretch.
Sanchez’s invitation to this year’s derby has not set well with several big leaguers, most notably, Tampa Bay Rays first baseman Logan Morrison, a player that did not get an invite despite sitting on 24 home runs right now.
"Gary shouldn’t be there. Gary’s a great player, but he shouldn’t be in the Home Run Derby,” Morrison told reporters this week. "I remember when I had 14 home runs. That was a month and a half ago."