MLB Betting Analysis April 29 - May 5

MLB Betting Analysis April 29 – May 5

The 2019 MLB season is in full swing. If you are betting on baseball this week, look to the three games that I am betting on.

MLB Betting Analysis April 29 – May 5

Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins
When: Wednesday, May 1 at 8:00pm ET
Where: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
TV: ESPN

Analysis: A couple of division leaders battle on Wednesday when the Astros head north to Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins. As of April 27, Houston is tied with Seattle atop the AL West. The Twins are 1.5 games ahead of Cleveland in the AL Central as of April 27.

The Astros list pitcher Collin McHugh has their Wednesday starter. McHugh threw well in his first 4 starts this season, but he’s had trouble in his last couple of starts. Texas dominated him with 9 earned runs off 8 hits in 3.1 innings while Cleveland torched him for 3 earned runs off 4 hits in 5.2 innings. The Twins bat .265 against McHugh.

Even though Perez is 3-0 with a 4.44 ERA, the Astros hit well against Perez with a .283 batting average. If McHugh can put together 5 just okay innings, that could be enough for the Stros to take this.

Pick: Houston Astros

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
When: Saturday, May 4 at 4:05pm ET
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
TV: FS1

Analysis: St. Louis listed starter Michael Wacha should be off the 10-day DL in time to get a game in before this Saturday matchup with the rival Cubs. Wacha hasn’t had great success versus Chicago, though.

The Cubs bat .331 against him. Chicago has 54 hits form 163 at-bats. They’ve hit 10 home runs against Wacha, have batted in 33 runs, and have a .997 OPS against him. Wacha could get into some trouble early on Saturday and he might not be able to rely on the Cardinals’ bats to bail him out.

Although Cubs’ starter Yu Darvish has a 5.02 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP, his form might finally have come around. Darvish was sensational in his last start, a 9-1 Cubs victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Darvish threw 6 innings and gave up only a single earned run off a home run. He gave up 2 hits total, walked 4, and struck out 8. If Darvish throws another gem, the Cubs should easily win. They’ll have a shot to beat St. Louis even if Darvish leaves early because Wacha should give up a few runs.

Pick: Chicago Cubs

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
When: Sunday, May 5 at 4:10pm ET
Where: Angels Stadium, Anaheim, CA
TV: ESPN

Analysis: Astros listed starter Justin Verlander has faced LAA batters 203 times. He’s dominated with 62 strikeouts and holds the Angels to a .167 batting average. Verlander is also 4-0 this season with a 2.61 ERA.

Angels listed starter Matt Harvey has a 6.54 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. He’s only faced Astros batters 10 times. However, he’s given up 6 hits in those 10 at-bats. Houston looks like an easy winner on Sunday. We might want to back the Stros on the run line because no way they’re dogs versus Harvey and the Los Angeles Angels.

Pick: Houston Astros run line

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