If I could give you a tip on MLB preseason betting, it would be to treat it like the slot machines at the casino, but specifically the ones near the entrance of one of the in-house restaurants. A pocket full of spare change and an hour to kill can lead to some bad decisions, but if you burn up the time and win some money then it’s well spent overall. The key to betting baseball in general is to focus on starting pitching. Unfortunately it’s not always that simple.
Motivation remains the biggest unknown in baseball’s preseason betting because some pitchers are vying for roster spots while others are experimenting with new deliveries or working through injury. You have to know these guys inside and out, and the context of their professional situations, to really feel comfortable taking large swings in these games.
The attractive part about MLB preseason betting is the lines themselves, which are usually pretty low. This leads to an obvious betting tip – don’t throw your money around like an idiot. Have a set ceiling that you won’t surpass. The moneylines during the grapefruit schedule are never so high that you can make a ton of money without risking an absurd amount, and same goes vice versa. Baseball betting in general is a grind but if you’re going to heed any of my MLB preseason betting tips, it’s to dip your toes in the water instead of diving in head first. That means small, frequent bets.
Strong teams also make for better overall plays in general. The Baltimore Orioles led the Grapefruit League with a 19-9 SU record, followed closely by Detroit at 19-14 SU and Atlanta at 20-15 SU. Those were all playoff worthy teams. Kansas City led the Cactus League with a 19-9 SU record. Now, heading in to the 2013 season we didn’t know if any of those teams would be as competitive as they were but the old adage in spring training games is to bet the more talented roster. It’s usually a safer play.
The last MLB preseason betting tip I will leave you with is to simply wait and find a hot team. Last year it was Baltimore and Kansas City, which didn’t really make a lick of sense at the time but it paid out and that’s all that really matters when you’re trying to win some money. As we learned from the timeless movie “Old School”, you never lose when you go streaking.