The American League American League Division Series Game 1 odds favor the Boston Red Sox when they travel to Cleveland to face the Indians. First pitch is on Thursday, October 4th at a time 6:00 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH.
Boston Vs Cleveland ALDS Game 1 Odds
The Boston Red Sox went 1-5 SU in their last 6 regular season games. Cleveland ended their regular season by sweeping the Royals 3 games to 0.
What: ALDS – GAME 1
Who: Boston Red Sox (93-69) at Cleveland Indians (94-67)
Pitching: Rick Porcello -R vs Trevor Bauer -R
When: Thursday, October 6, 2016
Start Time: 6:00 PM ET
Where: Cleveland, Ohio
Stadium: Progressive Field
Run Line: Boston -1.5 (+115)
Moneyline: Red Sox -130 vs Indians +120
Game Total: 8.5
Listen: Boston vs Cleveland
Bet on Boston to Beat Cleveland Because…
Boston bats .386 against Cleveland starter Trevor Bauer. Sure, the .386 batting average is from 44 at-bats. That’s not a very good sample size. Still, giving up 17 hits from 44 at-bats isn’t good. Neither is allowing 2 of those 17 hits to be home runs. Bauer gave up 14 RBIs to Boston in those 44 at-bats.
Bet on Cleveland to Beat Boston Because…
Cleveland batters are strong against Boston pitcher Rick Porcello. Porcello was terrific during the regular season. His ERA is 3.15. His WHIP is 1.01. His record is an incredible 22 and 4. But against Cleveland, his numbers have been awful. Cleveland bats .290 against Porcello from 238 at-bats. The sample size is large enough to write that the .290 batting average is legit.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
One important stat is that the Cleveland Indians are 2-4 straight up versus Boston in 6 games this season. Porcello pitched only once versus Cleveland during the regular season. The game was on May 22. Porcello gave up 2 earned runs off of 5 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Boston beat Cleveland 5 to 2. Bauer has faced Boston once on May 21. He allowed 4 runs from 8 hits in 5 innings of a 1 to 9 Cleveland loss.
What you have to worry about with Bauer is his recent forays to the mound. Bauer allowed Houston to score 5 earned runs against him Sept. 8. He gave up 6 earned runs to the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 13. The Detroit Tigers scored 6 earned runs against him on Sept. 18.
Boston has a better offense than the White Sox, Tigers or Astros. It’s hard to see Bauer keeping the Red Sox from putting up at least 5 runs against him. I’m adding another 2 just because Boston’s offense is so powerful. I like the Red Sox to roll in this game.