MLB Best Bets April 10-16

MLB Best Bets April 10-16

MLB Best Bets April 10-16

On Wednesday, two of the top teams in the NL, the L.A. Dodgers and Chicago Cubs, throw down. Who wins when the Dodgers head to Wrigley Field? St. Louis battles the New York Yankees in a fantastic interleague matchup this weekend. On Saturday, will the Cardinals take it to the Yankees in the Bronx? Then, on Sunday, who wins at Yankee Stadium when St. Louis puts former Cy Young Award winner Adam Wainwright on the mound?

MLB Best Bets April 10th-16th

L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
When:  Wednesday, April 12 at 8:05 pm ET
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Listed Pitchers: LAD-Brandon McCarthy vs CHC-John Lackey

Analysis: The L.A. Dodgers start Brandon McCarthy this Wednesday. In his first outing of the year, McCarthy wasn’t bad. He gave up 2 home runs and 4 hits in 6 innings. McCarthy’s ERA came out to 3.00.

The Dodgers beat San Diego 10 to 2. But, the win was against the San Diego Padres. The Chicago Cubs are a much better team than San Diego. In 32 at-bats versus McCarthy, the Cubs have 10 hits. Jason Heyward and Ben Zobrist have hit home runs against McCarthy. The ERA is .313.

Cubs’ listed starter John Lackey has held the Dodgers to 20 hits from 89 at-bats. More importantly, he hasn’t yielded a single home run. I think Chicago wins by at least 2.

Pick: Chicago Cubs run line

St. Louis at NY Yankees
When:  Saturday, April 15 at 1:05 pm ET
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Listed Pitchers: STL-Carolos Martinez vs NYY-Michael Pineda

Analysis: St. Louis pitcher Carlos Martinez was terrific versus the Cubs on April 2. He pitched 7.1 innings, gave up 6 hits, struck out 10, and gave up 0 runs. He also didn’t walk a single Cubs’ batter.
Unfortunately, Martinez imploded on April 9 versus the Cincinnati Reds. He gave up 5 earned runs off 6 hits in only 5 innings. Which Martinez is going to show up this Saturday?

I think the good Martinez shows up. Starlin Castro, who has seen Martinez more than any other Yankee batter, has 1 hit from 11 at-bats. I don’t see how the other Yankees touch Martinez.

Yankees listed starter Michael Pineda got drilled in his start on Wednesday, April 5. Pineda allowed a ridiculous 4 runs in only 3.2 innings of work versus the Tampa Bay Rays. His ERA came out to 9.82.

The Cards haven’t seen Pineda a lot. But, he was so bad on April 5 that it’s hard for me to see him stepping it up this Saturday against St. Louis. I like the Cardinals on the moneyline.

Pick: St. Louis

St. Louis at NY Yankees
When:  Sunday, April 18 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Listed Pitchers: STL-Adam Wainwright vs NYY-Jordan Montgomery

Analysis: Sure, Adam Wainwright is 0-1 so far this season. But, if you are a St. Louis Cardinals’ fan, you must love how he pitched versus the Chicago Cubs on April 4.

Wainwright was terrific when allowing only 2 runs from 3 hits and walking only 2 in 5 innings against the defending champions. Why do I use the word terrific? Because there was some doubt that Wainwright would ever be good again.

I think he builds upon that start. His teammates should have no trouble picking up runs versus rookie Jordan Montgomery, who’s listed to start for the Yankees on Sunday.

I am betting St. Louis to take the ESPN broadcast game on April 18.

Pick: St. Louis