If you’re looking to cash in on the value-packed MLB odds to win the World Series, then you’re in luck! This expert betting breakdown on the entire 2013 World Series and the respective chances of each team to actually bring home the bacon, will help MLB baseball bettors everywhere get the most bang for their baseball betting bucks.
MLB World Series Odds
St. Louis Cardinals +125
Boston Red Sox -155
This year’s Fall Classic is the first World Series meeting featuring the two teams with the best record in their respective leagues since 1999.
The Boston Red So are favored to win it all at a very respectable -155 while the Cardinals, should they manage to pull off the World Series win, will bring their betting backers a nice, +125 return on a $100 investment.
The 2013 MLB World Series gets started on Wednesday night, live from Fenway Park in Boston at 7:30 PM ET on FOX.
Now, let’s take a look at both teams from top to bottom before I offer up my expert MLB baseball pick on just which team will walk away victorious.
Boston is back in the World Series for the first time since winning it all back in 2007 when they swept the Colorado Rockies. St. Louis makes another appearance after winning it all by taking out the Texas Rangers in seven games in 2011.
The two World Series participants did not face each other this season, but Boston’s Interleague record is much better than the Cardinals’ if that means anything. The BoSox went 14-6 in 20 games against National League opponents while St. Louis went a respectable 10-10 against its American League counterparts.
Boston outscored its NL opponents by a whopping score of 118-54 while St. Louis outscored its AL opponents 100-75 despite going just .500 against the Junior League.
Boston and St. Louis recorded identical 97-65 records during the regular season and also nearly found themselves with identical records both home and away. The Red Sox went 53-28 a home and 44-37 on the road during the regular season while St. Louis went 54-27 at home and 43-38 on the road.
The Red Sox led the AL in scoring this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game on 9.7 hits and 3.6 walks. St. Louis led the NL in scoring by putting up 4.8 runs per game on 9.2 hits and 3.0 walks per contest.
Offense wasn’t the only area where these two teams matched up almost evenly. No…defense is another phase of the game where these two longstanding baseball franchises have been nearly mirror-like.
Boston finished sixth in the AL in runs allowed per game (4.1) while St. Louis finished fifth in the NL in the same category, giving up just 3.7 runs per contest. Both teams allowed an identical 8.4 hits per game with the BoSox also averaging 3.2 walks per contest to the Cardinals’ 2.8 per game.
Now, let’s take a more in-depth look at both teams and how they stack up in each phase of the game.
The Cardinals finished fifth in team ERA (3.43) while Boston finished 14th with a 3.79 team ERA. St. Louis is led by staff ace Adam Wainwright (19-9, 2.94 ERA), though fellow starters Shelby Miller and Lance Lynn both won 15 games this season. Wainwright has allowed just four earned runs in 23.0 innings this postseason and he will take the mound for Game 1.
Boston staff ace Jon Lester led Boston’s pitching staff by going 15-8 with a solid 3.75 ERA while veteran hurlers John Lackey (10-13) and more importantly, Clay Buchholz (12-1, 1.74 ERA.
The slight edge here goes to St. Louis.
The Cardinals will need to get some strong outings from their starters or Boston’s heavy hitters will make their relievers pay and pay big.
I know the Cards’ relievers are very good, but they’re also very young and inexperienced and that could be a huge problem against Boston’s big bats as they like to work starting hurlers deep into pitch counts before generally sending them on their way early.
The Pick: I’ve got to go with the Boston Red Sox to win the 2013 World Series over the never-say-die St. Louis Cardinals with these two teams being very evenly matched in every area except hitting where Boston’s plethora of heavy hitters should be more than enough to handle the Cardinals’ thins starting pitching rotation.
Boston won all three games in their ALCS matchup against Detroit featuring their top two starting hurlers and I believe they’ll find a way to get to Wainwright in Game 1 or some other Cardinals starter at some other point.
Shortstop Xander Bogaerts leads all remaining players in postseason batting average (.500) while center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting a robust .400 in 10 playoff games. The good news for the Cardinals is that Mike Napoli, Shane Victorino and David ‘Big Papi’ Ortiz are all batting .242 or lower this postseason.
The bad news is that all three players can change the course of a contest with one mighty swing as Ortiz and Victorino did in smacking huge grand slams to help beat the Tigers.
St. Louis doesn’t have a single regular batting over .268 this postseason and that tells me they likely won’t be able to keep up with the Red Sox in the scoring department, even if they do have the slight edge in overall pitching.
Take the Boston Red Sox to win in six games.