Daytona 500 Betting Preview & Analysis

2016 Daytona 500 Betting Preview & Analysis

Kyle Busch is the defending NASCAR Sprint Cup Series championship and racing demigod Jeff Gordon is now a spectator as we head into the 58th running of the famed Daytona 500. Daytona 500 will kick off the 36-race, nine-month marathon that is the Sprint Cup Series schedule. 

A Closer Look At Who To Bet On To Win The Daytona 500

Daytona 500
When: Sunday, February 21, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Daytona Beach, FL
Stadium: Daytona International Speedway
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go

Rookie Chase Elliott became the youngest person in the history of the Daytona 500 to win the pole. But, Elliott isn’t the favorite to win the race. Even though he’s in JR Motorsport’s number 24 car that used to belong to the incomparable Jeff Gordon, Elliott is at best a 12 to 1 shot to take home the top prize in the 2016 Daytona 500 on Sunday, February 21. If Elliott isn’t the favorite, who is? It’s not Matt Kenseth who will start in position 2. Kenseth is at 10 to 1. Nor is the favorite Hendrick Motorsports’ top driver, Jimmie Johnson. Jimmie, who is Hendrick’s no doubt number one now that Gordon has retired to the analyst’s booth, is at 7 to 1 odds.

The favorite is another Hendrick driver, the popular Dale Earnhardt Jr. Dale Jr. is at 4 to 1 to win the 2016 Daytona 500. The odds make sense since up until the Sprint Unlimited at Daytona this past Saturday, Dale had won 2 out of his last 4 races at Daytona International Speedway going back to 2014. That’s an incredible accomplishment. What happened at the Sprint Unlimited? Dale Jr. just never got on track. He finished a lackluster fifteenth. Still, his finish was better than Jimmie Johnson’s, who crossed the finish line in twenty-second place.

Betting Odds To Win Daytona 500

  • Kevin Harvick 12-1
  • Kyle Busch 12-1
  • Joey Logano 8-1
  • Jimmie Johnson 10-1
  • Matt Kenseth 10-1
  • Brad Keselowski 10-1
  • Kurt Busch 15-1
  • Carl Edwards 12-1
  • Martin Truex Jr 20-1
  • Denny Hamlin 10-1
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr 6-1
  • Kasey Kahne 25-1
  • Kyle Larson 30-1
  • Chase Elliott 20-1
  • Ryan Blaney 25-1
  • Jamie Mcmurray 30-1
  • Tony Stewart N/A
  • Austin Dillon 40-1
  • Clint Bowyer 40-1
  • Ryan Newman 40-1
  • Greg Biffle 40-1
  • Paul Menard 40-1
  • Aric Almirola 80-1
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr 80-1
  • Aj Allmendinger 100-1
  • Danica Patrick 80-1
  • Trevor Bayne 80-1
  • Casey Mears 80-1
  • Michael Waltrip 200-1
  • Field 25-1

Kevin Harvick, like Johnson, is at 7 to 1 odds. Harvick’s Crew is going to have to figure out what happened to the car in the Sprint Unlimited as he started in position 22 and failed to move up at all, finishing in twenty-fifth out of twenty-five cars. Then again, the Sprint Unlimited is an exhibition race. NASCAR bettors can expect a fired up Harvick with a brilliant car this Sunday. Daytona 500 Qualifying later in the week will shed more light on that.

In addition to Kenseth at 10 to 1, is the man that should be the favorite going into this year’s Daytona 500, Denny Hamlin. Hamlin won the Sprint Unlimited. That’s not the reason to make Denny the favorite for the 500. The reason to make Denny the favorite is because he’s finished in the Top 5 at Daytona in the his last 4 out of 5 races over the track. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver only needed to prove that he could win over the track in order to garner betting money. At 10 to 1 odds, he’s a major overlay in comparison to Dale Jr.’s 4 to 1 odds.

At 9 to 1, Joey Logano should have some say in the outcome on Sunday. He finished second to Hamlin in the Sprint Unlimited. Logano has a win and 2 total Top 5 finishes in his last 5 races at Daytona. Logano has the expertise, driver’s instincts, and the powerful Penske Racing Team behind him to win it all on Feb. 21.

Kyle Busch at 10 to 1 and Carl Edwards at 12 to 1 are the only other drivers less than 22 to 1 in the sports book. The field is at 25 to 1 at this time. Two underdogs worth considering are Austin Dillon at 35 to 1 and Casey Mears at 70 to 1. Mears finished in fifth place in the Sprint Unlimited. Dillon finished eighth in the Sprint Unlimited. Both drivers have finished in the Top 10 in 4 out of the last 5 races at Daytona International Speedway.