The race for the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup starts this weekend. The odds to be NASCAR’s top racer are out. If you are undecided on who to bet on to win, keep reading for my analysis on the favorite, smart and longshot picks to win 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship.
2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship Odds & Picks
- Kyle Busch/Kevin Harvick +550
- Martin Truex Jr/Kyle Larson/Chase Elliott +750
- Brad Keselowski/Joey Logano +850
- Ryan Blaney +1100
- Clint Bowyer/Erik Jones +1700
- Jimmie Johnson +2000
- Denny Hamlin +2300
- Aric Almirola +2650
- Kurt Busch +2750
- Daniel Suarez +4400
- Alex Bowman +4500
- William Byron +6600
- Austin Dillon +7000
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr +9000
- Paul Menard +10000
- Ryan Newman +27000
- Daniel Hemric +29000
- Ryan Preece +95000
- Matt DiBenedetto/Chris Buescher +175000
- Darrell Wallace Jr +185000
Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship Betting Favorite: Kyle Busch +550
Every year, Kyle Busch is the favorite to win the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup. Heading into last year’s NASCAR Playoffs, Busch looked like the sole winner. He won 3 races in a row during the year: Ft. Worth, Bristol, and Richmond, and then picked up wins at Charlotte, Chicago, and Pocono.
Heading into the NASCAR Playoffs, it looked like Busch might easily take it. After all, he had dominated the regular season and had a chance to start the playoffs at Richmond, the site of one of his regular season wins.
Busch didn’t disappoint, taking the checkered flag at Richmond. He’d win another race during the 10-event NASCAR Playoffs, at Martinsville, the third race before Homestead. But, that’s where it came apart.
The NASCAR Playoffs is a 16 driver tournament where the 4 drivers compete only against each other at Homestead to win the Cup. Busch finished behind Joey Logano. Is he worth a look at +550? Actually, yes, he is. But, backing Busch at those odds requires you to have faith that he’ll drive his best throughout the entire NASCAR Playoffs, even at Homestead. Tough odds to swallow when you think about it that way.
Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship Smart Pick: Erik Jones +1700
Erik Jones finished 15th in the 2018 NASCAR Playoffs. The only driver he beat was Alex Bowman. Let’s not worry about that because Jones is one of the few drivers at NASCAR with enough upside to win the 2019 Monster Energy Cup.
Jones might not have fared well in the final 10 races of the 2018 season. He should fare well this year. Jones’ rookie season was in 2017. In 2018 he was still learning. One of the things he did was win a race while he also finished in the Top 5 in 9 races and in the Top 10 in 18 races.
Joe Gibbs Racing expects a lot out of Jones in 2019. Fellow Joe Gibbs driver Kyle Busch will get the press, but Jones and his crew could be the ones to pay attention to this NASCAR Season. At the odds, he’s worth a long look.
Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Championship Longshot Pick: Jimmie Johnson +2800
Jimmie’s last Monster Energy Cup win wasn’t all that long ago. JJ took home the trophy in 2016. It was his 7th NASCAR Cup Championship. Johnson, crew chief Chad Knaus, and powerful Hendrick Motorsports had a terrible 2018, though.
Jimmie didn’t win a single race. Not only that, he was a no-show for the NASCAR Playoffs. JJ could turn around his fortunes in 2019. Out is the legendary Knaus. In is Kevin Meendering. Meendering won the 2017 NASCAR Xfinity Series regular season title as a crew chief.
Meendering brings a different perspective to Jimmie’s team. Rick Hendrick, the man behind Hendrick Motorsports, knows what he’s doing. If he’s pairing his best driver with Meendering, he’s got a plan. Don’t be surprised if Jimmie Johnson takes this year’s NASCAR Playoffs.