2014 Indy 500 Betting PredictionsJosh Bailey
With the 98th running of the Indianapolis 500 set to get underway on Sunday, May 25th at high noon, live from the Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Indianapolis , IN , this insightful betting predictions breakdown will give you all of the information you’ll need in order to make a wise race day wager or two.
As usual, I’ve done all of the homework – so that you can take the guesswork – out of your betting selections this coming weekend. Now, let’s get started before someone tries to start kissing some bricks over in Indy or something.
The Favorites To Bet On In The 2014 Indy 500
According to oddsmakers, these half-dozen drivers have the best odds of winning the 2014 Indy 500.
Helio Castroneves 13/2
Helio Castroneves is one of just seven drivers in Indy race car history to have won the Indy 500 three times (2001, 02, 09) and is one of just five drivers to do so in consecutive years. Not only that, but Castroneves also finished sixth last year after not cracking the top 9 in each of his previous two appearances. In 13 career Indy 500 races, Castroneves has finished third or better an incredible six times, but I’m thinking he falls just short this year.
Marco Andretti 13/2
Andretti finished fourth last year starting from the No. 3 position, but his Indy 500 appearances have fluctuated wildly since he made his first appearance in 2006. In eight career starts, Andretti has an impressive four top five finishes – and three races where he’s also finished 24th or worse. I’m thinking after last year’s narrow miss, Andretti falls back to the pack even more this year, no pun intended.
Ed Carpenter 15/2
Ed Carpenter finished 10th last year despite starting out in the pole position and I don’t expect much more from the respected veteran in this year’s race seeing as how he’s made a career of consistently underwhelming in the sport’s most prestigious North American showcase event. In 10 career Indy 500 starts, Carpenter has never finished better than the fifth place he nabbed in 2008 and he won’t this time around either.
Juan Montoya 15/2
Montoya won the Indy 500 way back in 2000 and is one of the most experienced race car drivers ever, having competed in NASCAR, Formula One, CART and IRL. The beloved Montoya makes his return to Indy car racing after driving on the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series for the past seven years, so I don’t think anyone is really expecting him to find his way into the winner’s circle…which is exactly why I believe he’s a pretty damned good bet – especially at 15/2.
Will Power 8/1
I have absolutely no idea why the hell Will Power is getting such great odds to win the 2014 Indy 500, but I don’t think it makes much sense seeing as how Power finished 19th in last year’s big race after finishing 28th and 14th in each of the previous two years. Power did finish eighth and fifth respectively in 2010 and 2009, but that doesn’t justify these odds – or a backing wager – even if Power did win the year’s first event, the Firestone Grand Prix of St. Petersburg on March 30.
James Hinchcliffe 9/1
Hinchcliffe has some outstanding odds coming into this year’s Indy 500 despite finishing 21st last year and 29th in 2011. His best showing, a sixth place finish, came in 2012. The good news for Hinchcliffe is that he did lead the race for seven laps a year ago.
Double-Digit Indy 500 Betting Longshots!
These five drivers may all have double-digit odds of bringing home the bacon at the 2014 Indy 500, but that doesn’t mean a thing does it?
Ryan Hunter-Reay 11/1
Hunter-Reay finished third last year and has two Top 10 finishes in six career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Still, I’m predicting a middle-of-the-pack finish for this driver just as he’s done in his four other career appearances which resulted in three finishes of 23rd place or lower. Hunter-Reay won the Indy Grand Prix of Alabama on April 27.
Scott Dixon 11/1
The more I look at Scott Dixon’s Indy 500 race history, the more impressed I am and the more I believe he’s the odds on favorite to bring home the bacon at this year’s IMS premiere event. Not only did Dixon take home the hardware in 2008, but in 11 career starts, he’s managed to put together an insane eight Top 10 finishes and equally impressive five Top Five finishes. Not only that, but he’s had the lead at some point in eight of his 11 Indy 500 races and I think Dixon is going to have plenty of motivation after finishing 14th last year, after finishing second in 2012 and fifth in both, 2010 and 2011.
Did You Know?
Did You Know that Scott Dixon finished sixth or better in seven consecutive Indy 500 races from 2006-2012.
Carlos Munoz 14/1
Munoz came in second place a year ago in his very first Indy 500, so it’s quite plausible actually that this young phenom could surpass the eye-opening performance he put on as a rookie a year ago to end up in the winner’s circle in 2014.
Simon Pagenaud 16/1
Pagenaud has made two career appearances at the Indianapolis Motor Speedway, finishing eighth last year and 16th in 2012. If he continues at his current pace of improvement, I guess this young driver will finish fourth in the 2014 Indy 500. Pagenaud also won the year’s most recent Indy car event, the Grand Prix of Indianapolis on May 10.
Tony Kanaan 16/1
Kanaan won the Indy 500 last year starting from the 12th position after coming in third and fourth places in each of the previous two years. In a dozen career Indy 500 races, Kanaan has finished inside the top five a whopping seven times while finishing third or higher four times. Maybe it’s me, but it sure looks like Tony Kanaan is more of a favorite than his pedestrian odds suggest.
— Indy Motor Speedway (@IMS) May 23, 2014
The Best Indy 500 Betting Odds Out There?
Three racers that all stand very legitimate chances of winning the 2014 Indy 500 have some of the craziest – and most profitable – odds that you’ll find for any legitimate threat to win a sports event.
All three of these drivers warrant a wager in my estimation as one of them could very well win the 2014 Indy 500.
Justin Wilson 40/1
You know….for a guy that finished fifth just last year, Justin Wilson sure isn’t getting a lot of love from oddsmakers. No matter, I say he’s a great driver to back after nabbing a pair of seventh place finishes in 2012 and 2010 to go along with last year’s result.
Oriol Servia 66/1
Hmmm…let’s see. In five career Indy 500 races, Servia has garnered two Top 10 finishes and one Top five finish. However, what Indy 500 race followers should really know is that this young driver has finished 11th or better in four of his five appearances, including sixth in 2011 and fourth in 2012.
Charlie Kimball 75/1
I have absolutely no idea why Charlie Kimball is only a 75/1 favorite to win this year’s race, but what I do know is that this fairly young driver has a huge upside, not to mention two Top 10 finishes in each of the last two years. After finishing eighth in 2012 and ninth last year, is another Top 10 finish or better out of the question? I think not!
|4||10||Juan Pablo Montoya|
Complete starting grid courtesy of NBCSports.com.
My 2014 Indy 500 Betting Predictions
I’m absolutely torn on whether or not I should pick Scott Dixon or Simon Pagenaud to win this year’s race, but in the end, I’m going with Pagenaud to finish first, followed by Dixon and Tony Kanaan.
As crazy as it sounds though, I would not be surprised in the least if one of my three ‘Best Odds Out There’ drivers found their respective ways into either the winner’s circle or a Top Three finish.