NASCAR Food City 500 Expert PicksJosh Bailey
NASCAR’s Sprint Cup Series heads to Bristol, Tennessee this Sunday, April 17, for the Food City 500. Established in 1961, Bristol is a 4 turn, .53 mile length, concrete race track. Kyle Busch holds the track record of 129.535 miles per hour.
— NASCAR (@NASCAR) April 14, 2016
After 2 awesome weeks, Kyle Busch leads Jimmie Johnson in the point standings at 259 to 253. Will Busch build on his lead over a track where he’s had some success? Or, will someone else come up and take the glory away from the hot Kyle Busch? Keep reading for the favorite, my smart bet and my longshot bet to win this Sunday’s Food City 500!
A Closer Look At My NASCAR Food City 500 Expert Picks
What: NASCAR Food City 500
When: Sunday, April 17, 2016
Start Time: 11:00 AM ET
Where: Bristol, Tennessee
Stadium: Bristol Motor Speedway
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Favorite To Win NASCAR Food City 500: Kyle Busch 5/1
After 2 straight wins, there’s no way that NASCAR handicappers let Kyle Busch go off at higher than +500 odds to win at Bristol on Sunday. Two weeks ago in Martinsville, Busch held off A.J. Allmendinger and Kyle Larson to win. Busch led 352 laps in that race. A week later, Busch beat Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Joey Logano in Texas.
Busch has 2 wins from 7 starts. What’s scarier is that he has 6 Top 5 finishes from those 7 starts. But Busch only has 1 top 10 from 3 out of the last 4 races at Bristol. That’s a sign that the win streak might be in jeopardy on Sunday.
The Smart Bet To Win NASCAR Food City 500: Joey Logano 6/1
Logano was very good at Texas in the last Sprint Cup race. After starting second, he held on to finish third behind Dale Jr. and Kyle Busch. It was a nice run for a driver who has 3 Top 5 finishes from 7 races so far this NASCAR Sprint Cup Season. What’s encouraging is that Logano has had a lot of success at Bristol Motor Speedway.
In the last 4 races, Joey has 2 wins. His average start has been 5th. Logano has led for 264 laps. The key for Joey this Sunday is to grab the lead early on in the race and then never look back. He didn’t lead a single lap at Texas. If he’s more aggressive on Sunday, he could take the Food City 500.
The Longshot Bet To Win NASCAR Food City 500: Matt Kenseth 7/1
Kenseth won’t go off at Danica Patrick odds to win the Food City 500. But, he should definitely be above double-digits. So far this NASCAR Season, Matt K. hasn’t been as good as he usually is. In 7 races, he has only a single Top 10 finish. That’s not up to par for Kenseth and his crew. He could turn things around at Bristol. At Bristol, Kenseth has a win and 2 total Top 5 finishes in the last 4.
NASCAR Food City 500 Odds
- Jimmie Johnson 7-1
- Kevin Harvick 6-1
- Joey Logano 6-1
- Denny Hamlin 10-1
- Matt Kenseth 7-1
- Kyle Busch 5-1
- Dale Earnhardt Jr. 18-1
- Carl Edwards 8-1
- Brad Keselowski 8-1
- Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
- Kurt Busch 12-1
- Kasey Kahne 40-1
- Kyle Larson 40-1
- Jamie McMurray 50-1
- Clint Bowyer 500-1
- Ryan Newman 100-1
- Chase Elliott 25-1
- Austin Dillon 35-1