From the onset of the second round, San Antonio over Portland was always going to be the easiest play for me to offer in 2014 NBA playoff free picks. The reason was simple: Portland and Houston engaged in what a lot of morons called a “thrilling” series despite the fact that neither team played a lick of defense. You can’t win in the playoffs by being an offensively heavy team, and right now Portland is finding that out the hard way.
The Spurs have crucified Portland in two straight games, extending their series record against Portland to 4-1 SU and ATS with four consecutive wins and covers. And the last two games have been decisive, double-digit decimations. San Antonio owns a +20.5 point differential in the first two games of a series that looks like it will be over before it really ever gets started.
The points that Portland has lacked aren’t on account of their starters. I mean, Aldridge can’t score 40+ points every time he steps on the court, especially when the Spurs are throwing every big man they have at him. One of the reasons you won’t find me siding with Portland in future NBA playoff betting picks deep in to the post season is that their bench can’t score. That’s surprising given that they have Earl Watson, Mo Williams and…ok maybe it isn’t that surprising.
In the meantime, San Antonio continue to rolls like a well-oiled machine. They had seven players in double-digits in Game 2, which included four of their starters and three of their bench guys. They look fantastic and every time Portland shows a bit of punch, the Spurs swing heavily with a wild haymaker. That was astoundingly clear when they crushed Portland 41-to-25 in the second quarter.
There is a tiny part of me that’s scared of a few things. The Spurs haven’t really travelled all that well in the playoffs, and went 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS when playing Dallas. That being said, betting on Rick Carlisle is a lot easier than betting on Terry Stotts. The other thing is that the Moda Center goes bananas on occasion. I don’t know if it will be enough. The Spurs have a tendency to roll over sometimes when they feel like a game isn’t worth it, but ending this series sooner rather than later seems like the priority, which is why they’re my winning pick.