The 2016 NBA Playoffs start this Saturday, April 13. Nobody should be surprised that the Golden State Warriors, especially after winning game 73 on Wednesday night to break the 1995-1996 Chicago Bulls’ regular season win record, are the favorites.
— ESPN (@espn) April 14, 2016
Golden State is an American Pharoah like 1 to 2 favorite to win the NBA Championship. All American Pharoah had to do was win 3 races in a row. The Warriors have to beat 4 teams in 4 separate 7 game series to take home the rings. Keep reading to check out more about Golden State’s chances along with my smart bet and long shot bet to win the 2016 NBA Finals!
A Closer Look At My 2016 NBA Finals Picks
The Odds On Favorite To Win The 2016 NBA Finals: Golden State Warriors 1 to 2
1 to 2 odds means that for every $100 that you invest on Golden State to win the NBA Championship, your profit will be $50. 50% sounds great until you realize that the Warriors have to beat 4 quality NBA teams in order to win the title. Will they do it? I don’t know. Anything can happen although I will write that Golden State is the best 1 to 2 odds team to win the NBA Championship that I’ve ever seen.
They have the best backcourt, possibly, in NBA history in Seth Curry and Kyle Thompson. Draymond Green is a special player. He’s versatile enough to play any position on the court while having the hunger that NBA coaches dream of from a professional hoops player. Steve Kerr’s brand of basketball works. It’s tough to see the favorites losing even at those crazy low odds.
The Smart Bet To Win The 2016 NBA Finals: San Antonio Spurs 19/5
The Spurs are 1 of only 2 teams that I believe can beat the Golden State Warriors for the NBA Championship. San Antonio has a bona fide Curry-like player in Kawhi Leonard. They also have the requisite veterans in Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili and LaMarcus Aldridge to make life difficult for the Warriors.
The Spurs did beat Golden State 87 to 79 on March 19. In order for San Antonio to win a series between the 2, they’ll have be lock down city for at least 4 out of 7 games. Can they do it? They probably can’t, but no other team in the NBA Playoffs has as good of a chance as San Antonio does of pulling off the upset.
The Long Shot Bet To Win The 2016 NBA Finals: Oklahoma City Thunder 15/1
The Thunder doesn’t have a great shot of upsetting either San Antonio or Golden State to win the Western Conference. They do have the best long shot chance to do it. At 15 to 1 odds, I think they deserve a long look.
What I love about Oklahoma City is that their defense has improved as the season has gone on. Although OKC is ranked fifteenth in the NBA in points allowed per game at 102.9, they’re ranked fifth in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 43.8%. Opponents shoot only 34.8% per game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. On offense, OKC shoots close to 48% from the field. If Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook take over, both have the ability to do so, the Thunder could surprise.