With an intriguing set of games at midweek, my Thursday night double header betting picks required a bit more thinking than I’d prefer. The consistent and reliable Spurs visit the wonky Brooklyn Nets as the high flying Warriors try to overcome their spread busting slump against the pesky Chicago Bulls. Who’s got next? I’ll share some thoughts…
San Antonio Spurs over BROOKLYN NETS (8pm EST)
The Spurs are an unforgiving, well-oiled machine. At 35-13 SU they own the west’s second best record, trailing only Oklahoma City. By now, you should understand that the Spurs just want to get to the playoffs with a reasonable degree of health. They use the regular season as an 82-game tune-up, which is frankly terrifying. But that’s why they’re also one of the iffiest plays in the league.
Building a Thursday nigh double header betting pick around San Antonio generally seems unthinkable. They’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, albeit 13-9 ATS away from home this season. The main problem with banking on San Antonio in this game is that they’re in the midst of a lengthy, east coast road trip. They play back-to-back road games against Washington and Brooklyn this week, so it’s doubtful that Popovich will unleash his full arsenal against the Nets. He might, he might not. You never know with Pop.
There’s nothing that invigorating about Brooklyn in general. They’re just 1-3 SU in their last four games, losing to playoff teams like Toronto, Indiana and Oklahoma City. They’re also 11-13 ATS when defending their own castle, which is a very honest metric since they’re also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
If you’re going to lean on any betting trend as you try to figure out your own Thursday night double header betting picks, the Spurs’ success against Brooklyn should probably top the list. San Antonio is 4-0 SU and ATS when playing Brooklyn in their last four games and will still have definitive positional advantages (Parker against D-Will, Kawhi on Joe Johnson, etc.) even if some of the key starters begin to see some rest.
The line will also be advantageous to the Spurs since it will shrink on the road. Most of San Antonio’s NBA betting struggles happen at home where they’re a rough and tumble 10-16 ATS. I don’t love what I’ve seen out of Brooklyn in general, so the Spurs are a more logical play but I’d check the coach’s decision prior to the game to ensure that their best personnel is available for this game.
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -8.0 over Chicago Bulls (10:30pm EST)
You have to hand it to the Chicago Bulls. Even without their best, overall players they’re still hanging in there as the sixth seed in the ugly Eastern Conference. That’s probably not saying much though. After all, Charlotte is the eighth seed. In any case do you think that the Bulls have any value as a Thursday night double header betting pick?
Probably not. This matchup was slotted in to a prime time spot because of what should have been a backcourt showdown. Golden State’s Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson against Derrick Rose and Luol Deng would have been off the charts in terms of excitement, but with the latter two down and out, it’s hard to really feel comfortable with the Chicago backups even though I personally appreciate Jimmy Butler and Mr. Kirk Hinrich.
Truth be told, Chicago hasn’t been an awful betting team even since trading Luol Deng. They’re 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS and have picked up recent wins over the Spurs and Suns. But they’ve also been destroyed by the Clippers and Timberwolves. At best, Chicago is an up-and-down play that’s really not worth tracking. There’s too many variables to account for with them.
As for Golden State, the only real number you have to track is the spread itself. Golden State is a horrifying 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games facing an average line of -5.5. The reason their spread record has taken a beating is because of the matchups where they’ve had some tough matchups. For the most part, the Warriors have been anything but in terms of NBA betting but this matchup is begging out to take them.
This is Chicago’s fifth straight road game and though they’re 2-2 SU and ATS in their travels so far, they still have to visit the Lakers this coming weekend. I usually don’t back the Golden State Warriors, even in the midst of Curry’s incredible season, but I can’t resist them here as part of my Thursday night double header NBA betting picks.