NBA Betting Analysis March 25-31

NBA Betting Analysis March 25-31

Betting on basketball this week doesn’t mean just March Madness. To that end, there are three NBA games you need to mark down on your calendar.

NBA Betting Analysis March 25-31

Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets
When: Thursday, March 28 at 8:00 pm ET
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
TV: NBA TV

Betting Analysis: Two of the top teams in the Western Conference throw down on Thursday, March 28 when the Denver Nuggets head to Houston to take on the Rockets. Houston will be favored to beat the Nuggets even though Denver’s got the better overall record.

Houston’s at New Orleans on March 24 and must take on Milwaukee on the road on March 26. That’s 3 games before the throw down with the Nuggets. Denver’s got an easier couple of games, at Indiana and versus Detroit.

The Nuggets are only 15-20 ATS on the road this season while Houston is 19-16-3 ATS at home. Denver dominated Houston by 14 in the last game, though, 136-122. The Nuggets are worth a look to cover the spread.

Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics
When: Friday, March 29 at 7:00 pm ET
Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA
TV: NBA TV

Betting Analysis: The Pacers are only 15-22 in away games this season. That stat alone makes Indiana tough to back on Friday. The Boston Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 before their March 24 battle versus San Antonio.

Should that change our minds? Probably not. The Celtics are 20-17 ATS at home overall and dominated the Pacers 135-108 in the last matchup. Boston’s been in bad form, losing 3 in a row before the game against the Spurs. Whether the bad form lasts or not, Boston will beat the Pacers and cover the spread on Friday.

Charlotte Hornets at Golden State Warriors
When: Sunday, March 24 at 8:30 pm ET
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
TV: NBA TV

Betting Analysis: It doesn’t matter how well Golden State plays from now until Sunday. They’re going to face an incredibly difficult spread to cover. The Warriors just aren’t a very good covering team at home. They’ve gone 13-22-1 ATS in home games this season.

When they face a squad they’re supposed to cover against, like the Charlotte Hornets, they often play worse against the spread. Charlotte is only 14-20 ATS in away games this season. That won’t matter because Golden State will face such a massive spread, Hornets will cover.

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