Are ready to cash in one more time on my expert NBA playoff finals betting pick before the conclusion of the 2013-14 NBA season, then you’re going to have a great chance if you continue reading.
You see, when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat in Game 5 of the NBA Finals on Sunday night at the AT&T Center in South Texas, you’re going to have a virtual lock selection waiting to be made like a gift-wrapped present from a long time friend.
2014 NBA Final Series Scores & Schedule
- Game 1 – June 5, Miami 95 at San Antonio 110
- Game 2 – June 5, Miami 98 at San Antonio 96
- Game 3 – June 10, San Antonio 111 at Miami 92
- Game 4 – June 12, San Antonio 107 at Miami 86
- Game 5 – June 15, 8:00 PM ET, Miami (+6) at San Antonio (-6); total 195.0
- Game 6 (if necessary) – June 17, 9:00 PM ET, San Antonio at Miami
- Game 7 (if necessary) – June 20, 9:00 PM ET, Miami at San Antonio
My 2014 NBA Final Expert Picks & Analysis
The San Antonio Spurs (77-27 SU, 57-47 ATS, 56-47-1 O/U) have completely and utterly destroyed the once egomaniacal, but now-humbled Miami Heat (67-34 SU, 48-51-2 ATS, 57-44 O/U) in each of the last two games by winning Game 4 by a whopping 21 points and Game 3 by 19 points.
Not only did the Spurs beat Miami twice – on the road no less – but they set a pair of NBA Finals records in the process by shooting an insane 75.8 percent in the first half of Game 3 (25-for-33) and becoming the first road team in Finals history to take two consecutive 15-point leads into the half.
By now, it’s clear the Spurs are far too deep and too talented for the defending-champion Heat to keep up with, making the outcome of Game 5, an afterthought in my mind. The only real question surrounding this likely season-ending affair is whether or not Tim Duncan and company will cover the NBA Odds as 6-point home favorites.
— NBA.com/Stats (@nbastats) June 13, 2014
Well, I’m here to inform you that even the point spread outcome is more of an afterthought for Game 5 seeing how easily the veteran-laden Spurs won games 3 and 4.
San Antonio has covered the spreadx in two consecutive games and a blistering five of their last six games overall and I don’t see any way Miami can expect to cash in, more or less get the upset road win against a Spurs team that is getting all sorts of contributions from everyone on their roster short of one of the AT& T Center popcorn vendors.
Miami has gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven NBA Finals games and a disturbing 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams that are from the NBA’s Western Conference.
San Antonio has compiled a near-perfect 8-1 ATS mark in their last nine home games while also going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an SU win.
The bottom line for Game 5, just as it was for each of the past two games, is the fact that San Antonio has at least eight to 10 players that could score 15 points or more on any given night while Miami has just three such players in LeBron James, D-Wade and Chris Bosh.