Game 1 of the 2019 NBA Championship Final has the defending championship Golden State Warriors on the road to face the Toronto Raptors.
Golden State vs Toronto Odds & Betting Analysis Game 1 2019 NBA Championship
NBA oddsmakers opened the NBA Championship Game 1 betting line at Golden State Warriors -1. A flurry of early bets and doubts on Kevin Durant’s return has shifted the odds in Toronto’s favor at -1. The over/under total in Game 1 is 215. It’s fallen half a point after opening at 215.5
Why Bet on Golden State Warriors at +1
Golden State has won 6 straight games in the NBA Playoffs. They beat Houston 104-99 and 118-113. They beat Portland 116-94, 114-111, 110-99, and 119-117 in overtime.
In all 6 playoff victories, the Warriors Big 3 of Draymond Green, Steph Curry, and Kyle Thompson have stepped it up. Curry had 37 points, 11 assists, and 13 rebounds in the Game 4 win over the Trail Blazers. Green pitched in with 18 points, 11 assists, and 14 boards, and Thompson had 17 points, 6 boards, and 2 assists.
Green, Curry, and Thompson play together better than any other 3 players in the NBA. If they’re on top of their games on May 30, the Warriors will win Game 1.
Why Bet on Toronto Raptors at -1
Toronto not only gets to battle the Warriors on their home court at Scotiabank Arena but like Golden State, they head into Game 1 on fire. Toronto beat Milwaukee in four straight to claim the Eastern Conference crown.
The reason beating the Bucks in four straight is so impressive is because in the first two games during the series, it appeared as if Milwaukee might sweep the Raptors. Led by Kawhi Leonard, the Raptors beat the Bucks in double-overtime to take Game 3.
That caused a massive shift in the series. The Raptors figured out how to beat Milwaukee. They didn’t look back.
Because Toronto battles Golden State at home and because they’re playing just as well as the Warriors are playing, Toronto can beat and cover in Game 1 on Thursday night.
Golden State vs Toronto Betting Analysis Game 1 2019 NBA Championship
Although Golden State is a heavy favorite to win the series, they’re a slight underdog to lose Game 1. The Warriors have shown that they don’t need Kevin Durant to beat quality NBA teams.
However, they battled a couple of teams in the NBA Western Conference Playoffs that probably couldn’t hang with the Toronto Raptors. Neither Houston nor Portland are as deep as Toronto.
Toronto can bring Fred VanFleet and his hot three-point shooting hand off the bench. Serge Ibaka and Norman Powell also provide quality minutes. Golden State has nobody on their bench that can hang with Powell, Ibaka, and VanFleet.
Sounds crazy, but the real key to Game 1, and maybe the series, comes down to how well the Warriors can match up with Pau Gasol. Portland’s top inside player, Jusuf Nurkic, didn’t put on the sneakers against the Warriors.
Gasol should have his way with Andre Bogut, Damian Jones, or Kevin Looney. If the Warriors drop into the paint to help on Gasol, that will leave VanFleet, Lowry, Kawhi, and Danny Green open for three-point looks.
The Raptors have a strategic edge that should lead to a Game 1 win. Pay attention because if Gasol really is the decisive edge, the Raptors could win the entire series.
My NBA Championship Game 1 Final Score Prediction: Raptors 115, Golden State 111