With Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinal series between the top-seeded Golden State Warriors and fifth-seeded Utah Jazz set to get underway in just over 24 hours, NBA basketball betting enthusiasts everywhere should know that the series odds surrounding the unexpected second round pairing are overflowing with value.
Golden State Warriors Vs Utah Jazz Western Conference Semifinals Schedule
Game 1: Utah at Golden State – Tuesday, May 2 at 8:00 PM ET
Game 2: Utah at Golden State – Thursday, May 4 at 10:30 PM ET
Game 3: Golden State at Utah – Saturday, May 6 at 8:30 PM ET
Game 4: Golden State at Utah – Monday, May 8 at 9:00 PM ET
Game 5: Utah at Golden State – Wednesday, May 10 at TBD
Game 6: Golden State at Utah – Friday, May 12 at TBD
Game 7: Utah at Golden State – Sunday, May 14 at TBD
Now, let’s find out where that value lies as I offer up my series prediction on the Dubs and upstart Jazz.
Golden State Vs Utah Western Conference Semifinals Series Odds
- Golden State -3600
- Utah +1700
First and foremost, hats off to the mostly young Utah Jazz (55-34 U, 41-44 ATS) for their thrilling first-round upset of the Los Angeles Clippers. The Jazz showed some serious heart by beating the Clippers 104-91 on the road in Game 7 and come into their semifinal showdown against the Warriors as the proud owners of the league’s top-ranked defense (96.8 ppg).
The Jazz also recorded a mind-boggling three road wins against Chris Paul and company while getting some phenomenal performances from Joe Johnson, Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors first and foremost, followed by more good outings from George Hill, Rudy Gobert, Rodney Hood and Joe Ingles as well.
The Jazz went 29-12 at home during the regular season and a respectable 22-19 on the road. The Jazz get 21.9 points per game from all-star forward Gordon Hayward and have three other players that average double figures in scoring in Hill (16.9 ppg), Gobert (14.0 ppg) and Hood (12.7 ppg).
Unfortunately, Utah ranks just 28th in scoring (100.7 ppg), although they shoot it very well in ranking ninth in field goal shooting percentage (46.6%) and three-point field goal percentage (37.2%).
Is that enough for the upstart Utah Jazz to dethrone the defending Western Conference Champs?
The Warriors (71-15 U, 43-40 ATS) looked like they were firing on all cylinders in their first round sweep of Damian Lillard and the Portland Trail Blazers. The Dubs recorded three of their four wins by double digits with one win coming by 29 points in Game 2 and another by 25 points in Game 4.
Golden State went 36-5 at home during the regular season and 31-10 on the road. The Warriors are ranked first in scoring (115.9 ppg), first in field goal shooting percentage (49.5%) and third in three-point shooting percentage (38.3%).
More importantly, the Dubs are also elite defensively as they finished the regular season ranked 11th in points allowed (104.3 ppg), but first in field goal defense (43.5%) and first in three-point defense (32.4%).
The Warriors have three player that average over 22.0 point per game in Steph Curry, Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson and another all-star in do-it-all forward Draymond Green (10.2 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 7.0 apg). Now, let’s look back at the three regular season meetings between the Warriors and Jazz.
Utah Vs Golden State Head-to-Head Betting Resutls
Golden State prevailed in two of their three regular-season matchups with the Jazz, and have won 10 of the last 13 meetings between the two teams.
12/8/16 at Utah: Warriors 106, Jazz 99
Golden State broke the game open with a 25-1 run but the Jazz never quit and covered the spread as 11.5-point home dogs despite missing a whopping four starters
12/20/16 at Golden State: Warriors 104, Jazz 74
Stephen Curry scored as many points (25) as Utah’s entire starting lineup while Gordon Hayward was limited to just six points in his only appearance against the Dubs this season. The Warriors easily covered the spread as a 12.5-point home favorite.
4/10/17 at Golden State: Jazz 105, Warriors 99
Steve Kerr rested his starters in the fourth quarter as the Jazz got the win behind George Hill’s team-high 20 points to cash in as a 10-point road dog.
Utah covered the spread in two of their three regular-season meetings against the Warriors and I believe they could cover more often than not against in their second-round series against the Warriors, although there’s no way they get the series upset. I like the Warriors to get the series win, but the Jazz will take one game before bowing out gracefully.