Stephen Curry and the sweet-shooting Golden State Warriors (51-31 SU, 41-38-3 ATS, 33-47 O/U) will look to clip Chris Paul and the Los Angeles Clippers (57=25 SU, 46-35 ATS, 44-37-1 O/U) with their fun-filled and explosive, ‘Young, Wild and Free’ brand of basketball when the two heated rivals square off in Game 1 of their first round Western Conference playoff series on Saturday.
While the Clippers won 57 games to take home the Pacific Division crown over the 51-win Warriors, these two teams split their four regular season meetings, though L.A. did manage to win the ATS battle 3-1.
More importantly, I think this series has a great chance to turn into a knock-down, drag-out brawl for the ages, (it could happen literally too) even if the majority of basketball experts like the Clippers to win and advance.
Golden State comes into this series having won three of its last four regular season games and five of its last seven overall while scoring a whopping 112 points or more in five of those contests. As a matter of fact, the high-scoring Warriors scored at least 105 points in three of their four meetings against the Clippers this season. The Warriors closed out the regular season by winning six of their L/10 games while covering the betting line seven times.
The Clippers come into this series having lost their regular season finale 110-104 to Portland on Wednesday to snap a modest two-game winning streak, but L.A. will hit the postseason on a pretty nice roll having gone 7-3 SU and ATS over its L/10 games overall.
For this Game 1 matchup, you should also know that Golden State recorded a pair of very impressive records by going 24-17 SU and 22-18-1 ATS on the road. CP3 and company however, will be very tough to beat after going 34-7 SU on their home floor, though their 21-20 home ATS mark leaves a lot to be desired.
Without a doubt, the no.1 matchup that basketball fans will be focused on is the all-star vs. all-star showdown between each teams’ elite point guard.
Curry led the Warriors in scoring by averaging a fantastic 24.0 points per game while draining a blistering 47.1 percent of his field goals and an equally incendiary 42.4 percent of his three-point attempts and 88.5 percent of his free throws.
The Warriors also get 18.4 points per game from perimeter threat Klay Thompson while the deep team also gets at least 6.0 points per contest from another eight players.
All-star power forward Blake Griffin leads the Clippers in scoring by averaging 24.1 points per game with Paul chipping in 19.1 and streaky reserve guard Jamal Crawford adds another 18.6 per outing. Three more players also average double figures in scoring for an L.A. ballclub that led the NBA in scoring (107.9 ppg).
Defensively, the Clippers ranked 14th by allowing 101.0 points per game, although they strangely finished inside the top five in both, defensive field goal percentage and three-point percentage.
Golden State finished 10th in scoring (104.3 ppg), ninth in field goal percentage and fourth in three-point shooting percentage (46.2) while also finishing a shocking 10th in points allowed defensively (99.5), fourth in field goal percentage defense and third in three-point defense.
Why Los Angeles will win: The Clippers arguably have two of the five best players in the NBA, making them a legitimate threat to beat anyone. And unlike last season, they have surrounded Griffin and Paul with sharp-shooting, defensive-oriented role players who can get the job done. Also, Warriors center Andrew Bogut may be out for the series with a broken rib, so Griffin and center DeAndre Jordan can dominate the paint.
Why Golden State will win: No team can bury an opponent in three-pointers quite like the Warriors when Curry and Klay Thompson are hot. Andre Iguodala has stabilized the defense and turned it into a physical unit that could frustrate Griffin , in particular.
The Warriors and Clippers genuinely don’t like one another and have gotten into so many skirmishes the last two seasons I’ve lost count. Griffin and Golden State veteran Jermaine O’Neal had words after one game this season while Griffin and Warriors forward David Lee had another confrontation this past Christmas.
Golden State Warriors Vs Los Angeles Clippers NBA Betting Trends
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Clippers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following an SU loss.
- Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Clippers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Western Conference.
- Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Over is 4- 1 in Warriors last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4- 1 in Warriors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.
- Over is 7- 2 in Warriors last 9 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
- Over is 5- 1 in Clippers last 6 Conference Quarterfinals games.
- Over is 8- 2 in Clippers last 10 overall.
Key Head-to-Head NBA Betting Trends – Warriors Vs. Clippers
- Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
- Over is 4- 1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles .
- Over is 7- 2 in the last 9 meetings.