It’s a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Finals — won 4-1 by Golden State who went on to win the NBA Finals — but a less competitive, more one sided affair. Game 1 tips-off on ABC this Saturday, April 16, 2016, at 3:30 PM ET from the ORACLE Arena, in Oakland, California.
How To Bet The Houston Rockets Vs Golden State Warriors NBA Playoff Game 1 Spread & My ATS Pick
The NBA game 1 betting spread favors the Warriors by 13-points to beat the Rockets. The game total is 225.5-points for your over/under bets. If you are betting the money line straight up then Houston pays $800 on $100 and Golden State pays 100 on $1250.
Golden State won all three games this season by an average of 12.3 points, and has taken 12 of the past 13 meetings (9-4 ATS).
What: NBA Playoffs – First Round
Who: Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
When: Saturday, April 16, 2016
Start Time: 3:30 PM ET
Where: Oakland, CA
Stadium: ORACLE Arena
Spread: Warriors -13
Moneyline: Houston +800 vs Golden State -1250
Game Total: 225.5
Stream: Watch ESPN
Listen: Houston vs Golden State
Why Bet The Houston Rockets To Beat The Warriors
Houston needed a series of late season miracles to make the playoffs. The Rockets delivered with blowout wins over the Lakers, T-Wolves and Kings. Now they face one of the best NBA teams…ever and no one believes they have a shot. Houston needed an ‘us against the world’ mentality and they got one.
The Rockets can’t score like the Warriors (114.9 PPG, 1st in the NBA), but they can score. They averaged 106.5 points per game (4th) during the regular season.
Harden is heavily criticized for his defensive efforts, but on offense, he still is one of the best in the league. He averaged 29.9 points per game during the season. In April he is averaging 34.2. Coach Bernie Bickerstaff’s recent decision to increase Josh Smith’s minutes at the expense of Michael Beasley’s has paid off.
While Houston scored at will in its three-game win streak, that won’t happen against the league’s fourth-most efficient defense (100.9 points per 100 possessions). Stealing game one will be a major stretch but Houston doesn’t need to win for you to cash in on your bet, they just have to cover the 13-point spread which is HUGE for an NBA playoff game and the Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven playoff games as an underdog.
Why Bet The Golden State Warriors To Beat The Rockets
Did you know Golden State was a 19-point favorite over the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night and still covered? That’s how good the Warriors are, especially at the ORACLE Arena.
This team lost only nine games all season long. Nine!! And with 73 total wins this season, ended up as the best regular season team we have ever seen. They were also the top scoring team this season, averaging 114.9 points per game.
Their leading scorer Steph Curry finished as the NBA’s scoring leader with 30.1 points per game. (Harden finished with one more total points on the season, but the NBA recognizes points per game with a minimum of games played, which Curry surpassed). In doing so, Curry became the first player in NBA history to average 50 percent from the field, 40 percent from 3-point range, and 90 percent from the free throw line. He logged 402 made 3-pointers, which is 117 more than the previous record — which was set by him last season.
Curry, Thompson and company will feast on the league’s 21st-ranked defense (106 points per 100 possessions). The importance of Dwight Howard (13.7 ppg, 11.8 rpg) is greatly diminished by Golden State’s small ball style of play.
Imagine all that offensive power against the lazy defense the Rockets for up to seven games in a row without reprieve.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
The Warriors have won nine of the last ten games against the Rockets and that in the closest matchup this season, a 114-110 win Dec. 31 in Houston, Stephen Curry sat out. Splash brother Klay Thompson went off for 38 points.
The Golden State Warriors have been better against the spread going 105-78 while the Rockets are 96-85 against the spread. In head-to-head matchups, the Golden State Warriors are 8-4 ATS.
My final score prediction is Houston 104, Golden State 113.