Heat Vs. Spurs and the 2014 NBA Finals Betting Trends

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs and the 2014 NBA Finals Betting Trends

Heat Vs. Spurs and the 2014 NBA Finals Betting Trends

The San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat have earned their way to another smash mouth, buzzer beating best of seven NBA Championship Finals. This is also the first time both finalists are returning for a rematch the following year since Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls beat the Malone/Stockton Utah Jazz in 1997 and then again in 1998.

The Spurs and Heat went seven games in the 2013 NBA Finals. Miami began the series with home-court advantage, went on to lose game one only to come back to win the NBA Championship in seven games. This year San Antonio, in hopes of a reversal of fortunes, responded by taking home-court advantage throughout the playoffs with a league-best 62-20 regular season record.

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs
Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs open the 2014 NBA finals this Thursday.
Starts: 06/05/2014 9:00PM
AT&T Center, One AT&T Center
San Antonio, Texas

Oddsmakers Pick Spurs To Beat The Heat

San Antonio is going off at -125 in odds to win the 2014 NBA Finals, with Miami paying +105 for the win.

“We’re happy to be back here this year, we’re happy to have another opportunity at it,” Tim Duncan said after the Spurs eliminated the Thunder on Saturday. “We’re happy that it’s the Heat again. We’ll be ready for them. We’ve got some experience, obviously, from last year against them, and we’ll go back and look at some film. And we’ve got that bad taste in our mouths still. Hopefully, we’ll be ready to take it this time.”

LeBron James and the Heat spoke with reporters after practice Monday, four days before the start of the NBA Finals in San Antonio. James’ respose to Duncan:

And:

 

Here’s a look at the entire schedule for the NBA Finals:

Date Location Time (ET) TV
Game 1 Thursday, June 5 San Antonio 9 p.m. ABC
Game 2 Sunday, June 8 San Antonio 8 p.m. ABC
Game 3 Tuesday, June 10 Miami 9 p.m. ABC
Game 4 Thursday, June 12 Miami 9 p.m. ABC
Game 5* Sunday, June 15 San Antonio 8 p.m. ABC
Game 6* Tuesday, June 17 Miami 9 p.m. ABC
Game 7* Friday, June 20 San Antonio 9 p.m. ABC

 

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs – NBA Finals Betting Trends

The San Antonio Spurs are:

  • 4-1 in NBA finals, winning in 1999, 2003, 2005, 2005, and losing in 2013.
  • 15-7 ATS in their last 22 NBA Championship games.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win.
  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite.
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Miami Heat is:

  • 3-1 in NBA finals, winning in 2006, 2012, 2013, and losing in 2011.
  • In the Big 3 Era, the Miami Heat is 8-8-1 against the spread in NBA Championship games.
  • 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

Heat Vs. Spurs Betting Stats:

  • Last year Miami became the 6th team to win consecutive NBA Championships.
  • Four former NBA Finals MVPs played in last year’s series (the Spurs’ Tim Duncan and Tony Parker, and the Heat’s Dwyane Wade and LeBron James), the most since 1987. All four players will play this year.
  • LeBron James became just the third player to win the regular-season MVP and Finals MVP in the same season multiple times. Only Michael Jordan and Larry Bird have accomplished that.
  • James also tied the record for most points in an NBA Finals Game 7 win. James’ 37 points tied Tom Heinsohn’s mark.
  • San Antonio went 3-2 SU and ATS over the first five games before Miami went 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS at home to close out the series.
  • This year the NBA Finals format will be played 2-2-1-1-1 instead of the 2-3-2 of previous years.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between Miami and San Antonio going back to the 2013 playoffs.
  • The Miami Heat have trended heavily towards the OVER this postseason at 11-3-1. The Spurs on the other hand have had the total go UNDER in four of their last five games, with Game 6 only going OVER the total due to overtime.

Heat Vs. Spurs Head to Head Betting Trends in the Big Three Era:

  • The 2014 regular season two meetings between the Heat and the Spurs both won thir home games by double digits.
  • Since 2012 Miami has won nine of their last 14 matchups against the Spurs.
  • Since 2012 the series is split 7-7 against the spread.
  • San Antonio is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami.
  • San Antonio is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Miami.
  • Miami is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Antonio.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio’s last 16 games when playing at home against Miami.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami.