Well damn, if the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs didn’t have the full attention of the top-seeded Golden State Warriors before Thursday night, they sure as hell do right now!
With the Spurs dispatching James Harden and the Houston Rockets in completely emphatic fashion in Thursday night’s Game 6 conference semifinal, the San Antonio announced to the Warriors that they are not going down in their Western Conference Finals matchup without a helluva’ fight.
Thanks to some expert NBA hoops analysis and my accompanying free pick on the upcoming conference finals showdown, you’re going to have a great idea of which team to back in what looks like an exciting series just waiting to happen.
Let’s get to it.
San Antonio Spurs Vs Golden State Warriors NBA Western Conference Finals Series Odds & Pick
- Golden State Warriors -1100
- San Antonio Spurs +700
Why Bet On San Antonio Spurs To Beat The Warriors
The Spurs finished the regular season ranked a modest 14th in scoring (105.3 ppg), seventh in field goal shooting (46.9%), a stupendous first in three-point shooting (39.1%) and seventh in free throw shooting (79.7%).
San Antonio was phenomenal defensively in ranking second in point allowed (98.1 ppg) during the regular season while also ranking fourth in field goal shooting defense (44.3%) and fifth in three-point field goal shooting defense ((34.4%).
The Spurs have an MVP-caliber superstar in small forward Kawhi Leonard (25.5 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.8 pg) and three other players that averaged double figures in the regular season in LaMarcus Aldridge (17.3 ppg), Pau Gasol (12.4 ppg) and Tony Parker (10.1 ppg).
San Antonio also has some very competent role players in Patty Mills, Manu Ginobili, Danny Green and the blossoming Jonathan Simmons (6.2 ppg) and Dwayne Dedmon (5.1 ppg, 6.5 rpg).
Why Bet On The Golden State Warriors To Beat The Spurs
By now, you probably know the Warriors led the league in scoring (115.9 ppg) while also finishing the regular season ranked first in field goal shooting percentage (49.5 %), third in three-point shooting percentage (38.3%) and 11th in free throw shooting (78.8%).
Golden State was very solid defensively in ranking 11th in points allowed (104.3 ppg) but first in field goal defense (43.5%) and first in three-point defense (32.4%).
The Warriors have a quartet of all-stars in Steph Curry (25.3 ppg), Kevin Durant (25.1 ppg), Klay Thompson (22.3 ppg) and Draymond Green (10.2 ppg, 7.9 rpg, 7.0 apg).
Golden State also has an outstanding group of role players in key contributors like Andre Iguodala (7.6 ppg), Ian Clark (6.8 ppg), JaVale McGee (6.1 ppg), Zaza Pachulia (6.1 ppg), Matt Barnes (5.7 ppg), Shaun Livingston (5.1 ppg) and David West (4.6 ppg).
Head-To-Head Betting Trends
The Spurs took two of the three regular-season meetings against the Warriors by winning 129-100 on October 25 as an 8.5-point road dog and 107-85 as a 10.5-point home favorite on March 11. Golden State took the final regular season meeting 110-98 to cash in as a 4.5-point road dog on March 29.
San Antonio Spurs Vs Golden State Warriors NBA Western Conference Finals Series Pick
While there’s no denying that the San Antonio Spurs were absolutely phenomenal in dispatching the Houston Rockets in six games while winning the series finale without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker.
However, no matter how hard I try to envision a scenario where the Spurs win the Western Conference finals, I jut can’t come up with one that doesn’t include a major injury to at least two of Golden State’s all-stars.
The more likely scenario – and the one I expect to play out – is that a well-rested Golden State team uses its high-powered offense to run past a mostly older and slower San Antonio squad much like Houston did in their two semifinal victories, while challenging the Spurs at the other end of the floor far more than the defenseless Rockets ever did in the last round.
The bottom line is that both, the Spurs and Warriors are excellent defensive teams, but it is Golden State that is the far more efficient offensive team with more viable and explosive weapons.
Beating the Warriors with three all-stars hasn’t happened for any Western Conference team the last two seasons. Now, with Kevin Durant on board, the task of beating the Dubs looks impossible. I fully expect the Golden State Warriors to win the Western Conference Finals in six games and you should too.