The defending NBA champion Golden State Warriors will face the Toronto Raptors for the 2019 NBA Title.
Warriors vs Raptors 2019 NBA Championship Odds & Betting Analysis
Oddsmakers have set the Warriors as a -300 (bet $300 to win $100) favorite to win their third straight NBA Championship. The Raptors are a +250 (bet $100 to win $250) underdog.
Why Bet on Golden State Warriors at -300
Most believed that Warriors would struggle to beat the Houston Rockets in the NBA Western Conference Semifinals after star Kevin Durant went down with a calf injury. Not only did the Warriors not struggle, they dominated the Rockets.
Then, they dominated the Portland Trail Blazers in the Western Conference Finals. Golden State is leaning on their Big 3: Draymond Green, Kyle Thompson, and Steph Curry. As long as those three play well, Golden State is almost impossible to beat.
Why bet on Toronto Raptors at +250
After losing the first couple of games to the Milwaukee Bucks, the Toronto Raptors flipped the switch. They won the next 4 games in the series for a 4-2 NBA Eastern Conference Finals win. Most point to Kawhi Leonard’s play as the reason the Raptors beat the Bucks in the East.
Although Kawhi is the main reason, Toronto played as a team in four straight. They used great defense and excellent three-point shooting to take down Giannis and the Bucks. There’s a chance Toronto carries the momentum they built in the last series over into the NBA Championship. If the Raptors do that, they can upset the Warriors.
NBA Championship Betting Analysis
Golden State is favored because of how easily they handled both the Houston Rockets and Portland Trail Blazer. Toronto is a different team, though. The Raptors can win in many different ways. They aren’t just a single player squad.
Kawhi is the reason they made it to the NBA Finals. However, he’s not the only reason. In the Game 6 win over Milwaukee, Fred VanFleet went 4-of-5 from three-point land. Pascal Siakam scored 18 and Kyle Lowry scored 17. Lowry went 3-of-4 from the arc.
Not only is Toronto not a one player team, but they also have home court advantage in the NBA Championship. Home court advantage could mean a lot with Drake out their high-fiving Kawhi every time he dunks or drops a trey.
Golden State should be favored, but the odds differential is ridiculous. Toronto is an excellent play to win the NBA Championship.