AR Little Rock vs Iowa State March Madness Line & Free Pick

2016 March Madness Sweet 16 Free Picks

AR Little Rock vs Iowa State March Madness Line & Free Pick

The number 12 seeded Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans shocked Purdue 85 to 83 in double-overtime on Thursday to march to the Round of 31. Arkansas-Little Rock battles Iowa State who made quick work of Iona in a 94 to 81 game on Thursday. This battle takes place in Denver, Colorado on Saturday, March 19.

Analyzing The No. 12 Arkansas Little Rock Trojans vs No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones March Madness Betting Line & My Free Pick

Arkansas-Little Rock has won 3 games in a row. The Trojans have won 9 out of their last 10 games. The Iowa State Cyclones have gone 3 and 3 straight up in their last 6 games. Iowa State is 16-13-1 ATS overall. The Cyclones have gone 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 games.

Arkansas-Little Rock is 20 and 10 ATS overall. The Trojans are 3 and 0 ATS in their last 3.

What: NCAA Tournament – Midwest
Who: Prkansas Little Rock Trojans vs Iowa State Cyclones
When: Saturday March 19th 6:10 PM EDT 
Where:TNT 

Why Bet On The No. 12 seeded Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans?

Arkansas-Little Rock’s defense could give Iowa State fits. The Trojans have one of the better defenses in the NCAA Tournament. Arkansas-Little Rock allows an average of 60.3 points per game. That ranks fourth in all of college hoops. Opponents shoot 38.9% from the field against the Trojans defense. Arkansas-Little Rock allows its opponents to shoot 30.7% from three.

Why Bet The No. 4 seeded Iowa State Cyclones?

Iowa State can get out on the break. The Cyclones average better than 50% from the field. When Iowa State is running and gunning, it’s very difficult for their opponents to keep up. Since Arkansas-Little Rock only averages 71.4 points per game, bettors have to figure that Iowa State is going to try and push the pace as much as they can. That could lead to easy Cyclone buckets.

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

This matchup is a contrast in styles. If Iowa State can enforce their run and gun style, the Cyclones are likely to win this game by 20 points. But if Arkansas-Little Rock can enforce their slow down, half court, style the Trojans could pull off another money line upset.

I’ve learned that when in doubt to go with the team with the better defense. Arkansas-Little Rock has the better defense. If the Trojans were able to hold Purdue and the Boilermakers terrific front line and talented back court to 41.9% shooting from the field and 32.1% shooting from three, they can definitely keep Iowa State from shooting its usual 50% in this game. I’m calling the upset. I like Arkansas-Little Rock on the moneyline.

My final score prediction is Arkansas-Little Rock 72, Iowa State 70.