Arizona vs Wisconsin Elite 8 Odds & Final Score Prediction

Arizona vs Wisconsin Elite 8 Odds & Final Score Prediction

Arizona vs Wisconsin Elite 8 Odds & Final Score Prediction

The top-seeded Wisconsin Badgers are 1.5-point favorites when they take on the second-seeded Arizona Wildcats on Saturday with the winner going on to the Final Four.

This will be a rematch from the Elite Eight last year. Wisconsin advanced to the Final Four in 2014 with a thrilling overtime 64-63 victory over Arizona. Did the selection committee plan this?

A Closer Look At The Arizona Wildcats vs Wisconsin Badgers Elite 8 Odds & Final Score Prediction

Matchup: (2) Arizona Wildcats vs (1) Wisconsin Badgers
Date: Mar. 28, 2015 
Start Time: 6:09 p.m. ET 
Location: Los Angeles, California
Stadium: Staples Center
TV Info: TBS
Stream: March Madness Live
Radio: Arizona Vs  Wisconsin
Point Spread: Wildcats -1.5
Game Total: 133.5

Arizona Will Cover the 1.5-point Spread If

The Wildcats can get off to a faster start on offense.

Arizona averages 76.6 points per game. The Wildcats shoot 48.6% from the field and 36% from the three-point line. But in their last 2 games, Arizona’s offense has been anything but spectacular. The Wildcats shot only 36.5% versus Ohio State in the second round. Then, in the Sweet 16, the Wildcats shot only 40.7% from the field in a 68 to 60 win over Xavier.

Arizona’s defense has been spectacular during the NCAA Tournament. The defense forced Xavier into 12 turnovers. But on Saturday, the Wildcats play a squad in Wisconsin that doesn’t often turn the ball over. Wisconsin’s offense is as efficient as any in the tournament. If Arizona hopes to cover the spread versus the Badgers, the offense is going to have to be clicking early in the game. The Wildcats will have to shoot well from the field in the first half.

Arizona’s Elite 8 Projected Starting lineup

  • G T.J. McConnell, 6-1, Sr., 9.6 ppg, 6.3 apg
  • F Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, 6-7, So., 11.2 ppg, 6.5 rpg
  • F Brandon Ashley, 6-9, Jr., 11.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg
  • F Stanley Johnson, 6-7, Fr., 13.9 ppg, 6.6 rpg
  • C Kaleb Tarczewski, 7-0, Jr., 9.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg
  • Coach: Sean Miller (sixth season)

Wisconsin Will Cover the 1.5-point Spread If

Wisconsin can challenge the Wildcats’s three-point shooters.

Wisconsin’s defense is very effective. The Badgers allow 57.2 points per game. Opponents shoot only 42.3% per game from the field against Wisconsin. But the Badgers, at times, have trouble running out to opponents’ three-point shooters. In the Badgers’ 79 to 72 win over North Carolina in the Sweet 16, they allowed the Tar Heels to shoot 61.5% from three. North Carolina only took 13 three point shots.

Arizona is going to take more than that. Versus Xavier, Arizona took 22 three-point shots. They only hit 7. If Wisconsin doesn’t run out to Arizona’s shooters, the Wildcats are probably going to hit more than 7 three-pointers. That could spell doom to Wisconsin’s chances of making it to the Final Four. Gabe York in particular is a Wildcat player that could hurt Wisconsin with the three. York hit only 3 out of 8 versus Xavier, but he averages 39.5% from behind the arc and punished Ohio State with 5 out of 9 three pointers. If Wisconsin doesn’t guard against the three-point shot, they won’t cover the spread versus Arizona in the Elite Eight.

Wisconsin Badgers’ Elite 8 Projected Starting Lineup:

  • G Bronson Koenig, 6-2, So., 7.8 ppg, 2.2 apg
  • G Josh Gasser, 6-3, Sr., 7.0 ppg, 3.5 rpg
  • F Sam Dekker, 6-9, Jr.., 13.1 ppg, 5.5 rpg
  • F Nigel Hayes, 6-7, So., 12.0 ppg, 6.4 rpg
  • C Frank Kaminsky, 7-0, Sr., 18.4 ppg, 8.1 rpg
  • Coach: Bo Ryan (14th season)

Final Score Prediction – Arizona Wildcats 74, Wisconsin Badgers 71