From the very first tip-off of this college basketball betting season, we knew that this was going to be a tough campaign to properly track. The defending champion Louisville Cardinals are ranked fourth in the nation, and have put together a very convincing 9-1 SU stretch where they’ve also gone a pretty promising 7-3 ATS. They are one of the hottest teams in the country as Russ Smith and this band of unknowns tries to win back-to-back national titles. To do that, they need to keep winning conference matchups.
Memphis won’t make it easy. I haven’t been offering many NCAAB betting tips on the newly formed AAC conference because no team has been very consistent against the line. Louisville’s recent surge has made them a stronger play recently, and a pretty attractive 6-3 ATS record when travelling this year should also lure you towards them. Simply put, this is a team that is peaking at the right time and a win in Cincinnati over the weekend was a huge statement for them, even if it didn’t cover the line.
The Memphis Tigers are starving for attention as Joe Jackson and Shaq Goodwin literally carry this team on their own. They combine for 27.2 points per game, while Goodwin adds 6.4 rebounds and Jackson leads the team in assists. The Tigers are actually a very good defensive team that loves to hawk after the ball in transition. They limit their opponents to just 43.0 percent fro the field, while scoring 79.2 points per game for themselves. In any other season, Memphis would be a top ten team but it’s hard to push them while giving out my daily NCAAB betting tips when this year has so many competitive programs.
Memphis has also gone just 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games and have lost recent road trips to UConn and SMU while barely beating schools like Temple, UCF and Gonzaga on their own court. Memphis is just 5-7 ATS in their 12 home stands this year and the AAC isn’t a very good group. If the Tigers were truly a threat, they’d be much stronger at home.
Louisville is simply getting their act together at the right time, just like they did last year and Memphis seems to be falling apart at the seams. The workload on Jackson and Goodwin just seems to be wearing them down, even though Austin Nichols is coming on strong. Overall, I just don’t see how Memphis slugs it out with Louisville even with a home court advantage. That’s why leaning on Louisville has been one of the simplest NCAAB betting tips I’ve been handing out lately.