College Football Week 12 Straight Up Moneyline Upset Picks

College Football Week 12 Straight Up Moneyline Upset Picks

Week 12 in college football is prime for some big time upset picks. Memphis battles Temple as a road favorite. It’s difficult to see why.

Another upset possibility occurs in arguably the biggest game of the year in the Big Ten:  Michigan State at Ohio State. Both teams are ranked in the Top 10 in the AP Poll while Ohio State is ranked in the Top 4 in the College Football Playoff rankings. The third upset could occur when LSU travels to Mississippi to take on Ole Miss.

A Closer Look At My College Football Week 12 Straight Up Moneyline Upset Picks

Memphis at Temple
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 12:00 pm ET
Odds: Memphis -2

Analysis: Sure, Memphis has a future NFL first round draft pick QB in Paxton Lynch, but the defense has gone south in a hurry. Memphis’ defense allows 432.7 total yards and 29.3 points per game.

Temple’s defense is legit. Overall, it’s allowing 357.1 yards and 21 total points per game. The Temple D held Notre Dame to 24 points and 467 total yards. That’s not bad considering that Notre Dame is one of the top teams in the nation and routinely averages 468 yards and 36 points a game. Temple should be able to put up points. They’re the obvious play in this game straight up since they take on Memphis at home. Plus, Temple goes into this battle after having lost 23 to 44 to South Florida. The Owls will be stoked to make amends for that upset loss.

Pick: Temple

No. 9 Michigan State at No. 2 Ohio State
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 3:30 pm ET
Odds: Ohio State -13

Analysis: Ohio State has been living off of cupcakes this season. The bloated Buckeyes face the only real college football team that they’ve faced all season long on Saturday when they battle Michigan State. Ohio State’s QBs have been playing like crap. J.T. Barrett may have destroyed his season by getting caught drinking and driving. Cardale Jones hasn’t been able to develop a rhythm. Neither guy has WR Devin Smith to throw to in this year’s contest against Sparty.

Michigan State’s QB Connor Cook should be healthy. The Spartans failed against Nebraska on the road, but they beat Michigan on the road and they beat Oregon at home this season. Name a team that Ohio State has faced that’s on even terms with Oregon, Michigan or Nebraska? Yep. There isn’t a one. Go with the battle-tested Spartans to pull off the money line upset.  

Pick: Michigan State

No. 17 LSU at No. 25 Ole Miss
When: Saturday, Nov. 21 at 3:30 pm ET
Odds: Ole Miss -4

Analysis: The shine is off LSU after the Tigers lost their second game in a row. Alabama thumped LSU 30 to 16. The Tigers dropped from second in the College Football Playoff rankings to seventh. They’re out of the Top 10 altogether this week after dropping a game to Arkansas 14 to 31.

But, Arkansas beat LSU last season. Arkansas is one of those teams that seem to have LSU’s number. A bigger issue for the Tigers might be RB Leonard Fournette’s inability to rush for at least 100 yards in 2 straight games. That could all change against Ole Miss this Saturday. The Rebels allow 125.7 rushing yards per game. Arkansas rushed for 163 yards against Ole Miss in their last game. LSU should win this battle straight by feeding Fournette.  

Pick: LSU