Dayton V Boise State Spread, ATS Pick & TV InfoJosh Bailey
The 3-point favorite Dayton Flyers will have the very rare home-court edge in today’s First Four matchup against the Boise State Broncos at the University of Dayton Arena today at 9:10 PM ET. The winner earns a matchup against the sixth-seeded Providence Friars for Friday’s game.
Since it was introduced in 2011, 1 team playing in the First Four has advanced to at least the Round of 32 each year pic.twitter.com/ZJv3kj6f6f
— ESPN College BBall (@ESPNCBB) March 17, 2015
Analyzing The Dayton V Boise State Spread, A Closer Look At My ATS Pick & TV Info
Matchup: (11) Dayton Flyers at (11) Boise State Broncos
Date: Mar. 18, 2015
Start Time: 9:10 p.m. ET
Location: Dayton, Ohio
Stadium: University of Dayton Arena
TV Info: truTV
Stream: March Madness Live
Radio: Dayton Vs Boise State
Point Spread: Flyers -3
This marks the first time since 1987 that a school has played a NCAA tournament game in-front of a home crowd. Since 1989, the only exception to the rule of not being seeded into a bracket that puts them on home-court, with the First Four the only exception – though it’s not unusual for top seeds to play nearby in front of a partisan crowd, such as Kentucky’s games in Louisville this week.
Dayton is 16-0 at home this season and has won its past 21 overall at UD Arena, the seventh-longest active streak in Division I.
”When we’re playing a home game, we have about as good of a home-court advantage as anyone does in college basketball,” coach Archie Miller said. ”But I’ll also tell you that anyone who is billing this as a home game or a walk-through, I just think they’re really under-appreciating how good Boise State is.
”If we were playing a regular-season game at home versus Boise State, you’d be sick to your stomach because you know what you’re in for.”
Dayton Will Cover the Spread If
The Flyers Jordan Seibert takes control.
It’s difficult to put the onus on a single player in the NCAA Tournament, but that’s where Dayton finds itself. Dayton lost two players, Devon Scott and Jalen Robinson, to suspension in late February. The Flyers are down to 7 players. 2 of those players, Darrell Davis and Bobby Wehrli, don’t provide much from off the bench.
ICYMI: Here are six most likely double-digit seeds to make the Sweet 16, via a few data sources. pic.twitter.com/NFzqgDcGgZ
— Jacob Rosen (@WFNYJacob) March 17, 2015
If the Flyers starting 5 doesn’t play well, Dayton often times ends up in dire straits. The starting 5 did play well versus VCU in the Atlantic 10 Championship game, but Dayton lost 65 to 71. If top player Jordan Seibert had played better than he did, Dayton may have won the game. Seibert only scored 14 points against VCU. He turned the ball over 3 times, grabbed only 1 rebound, and dished only 1 assist. Seibert averages 16.5 points, 3.4 boards and 2 assists per game. He’s going to have to exceed his scoring average versus Boise State if Dayton hopes to cover the spread.
Boise State Will Cover the Spread If
Boise State can wear down the short-handed Flyers with their inside game.
As opposed to Dayton, Boise State plays all 10 guys on their basketball team. The Boise State Broncos, though, rely on three players for most of their points, assists and boards: James Webb, Nick Duncan and Derrick Marks.
Webb and Duncan play inside. Webb leads the team in rebounds per game at 7.9. Duncan averages 9.7 points per game, but he’s scored in double-figures in Boise State’s last 3 matchups before the NCAA Tournament. Marks leads the team in points, 19.3 per, and assists, 3 per. When Marks is scoring and rebounding, the Broncos can be very difficult to beat. He racked up 5 boards against Wyoming, the Mountain West Conference Tournament winner. The Broncos took Wyoming into overtime in a 71 to 66 loss in that battle. Marks’ rebounding is a sign that Boise State’s inside game is flourishing. If it flourishes versus the Flyers, it’s likely that Boise State will cover the spread.