FGCU Vs FSU Line & PickNoah Williams
The third-seeded Florida State Seminoles will look to avoid the huge upset at the hands of the dangerous 14th-seeded Florida Gulf Coast Eagles when the two Sunshine State-based ballclubs square off in their West region first-round matchup on Thursday. Now, let’s find out if Florida State can avoid the huge upset to cover the spread as double-digit favorites.
How To Bet The No. 14 Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Vs No. 3 Florida State Seminoles Line & Pick
No. 3 Florida State (25-8) vs. No. 14 Florida Gulf Coast (26-7)
When: Thursday, March 16, 2017 at 9:20 PM ET
Where: Amway Center, Orlando, Florida
Odds: Florida State -12
Why Bet The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Odds at +12
Florida Gulf Coast (4-0 ATS) is on fire and that’s a great reason to back them to cover the spread against Florida State. The Eagles have won seven straight games and 12 of their last 13 games and beat North Florida 77-61 in the Atlantic Sun conference championship on Mar. 5.
Florida Gulf Coast averages an impressive 79.4 points per game (45th) on a jaw-dropping 50.2 percent shooting mark from the field (fifth). Florida Gulf Coast also limits the opposition to just 68.8 points per game (89th) on 42.1 percent shooting (91st) and 30.9 percent mark from beyond the arc (19th).
The Eagles have four players that average double digits in scoring including leading scorer Brandon Goodwin (18.2 ppg). Florida State has just three players that average double figures in scoring including leading scorer Dwayne Bacon (16.9 ppg).
Why Bet The Florida State Seminoles Odds at -12
Florida State (17-12-2 ATS) is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time in five years and they should have plenty of motivation after dropping two of their last four games including their 77-73 ACC Tournament loss to Notre Dame on Friday.
The Seminoles average 82.5 points per game and shoot 48.3 percent from the field to rank an identical 18th in both categories while limiting the opposition to 71.3 points per game (149th) on 41.2 percent shooting (45th). Only three players average double figures for the Seminoles including leading scorer Dwayne Bacon (16.9 ppg)
FGCU Vs FSU Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
Florida Gulf Coast has covered the spread in three straight while Florida State has gone 3-4-1 ATS over their last eight games overall.
The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog, 8-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games as an underdog nd an insane 30-9-1 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
While Florida State has gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite between 7.0-12.5 points, the Seminoles are also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games and an identical 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Simply put, I like the Seminoles to get the SU win, but Florida Gulf Coast to cover the spread with bit of room to spare.
My final score prediction is Florida State 78 Florida Gulf Coast 72