Georgia St vs Baylor March Madness Spread Betting & My ATS Pick

New Mexico State vs Baylor Line & Free Pick

Georgia St vs Baylor March Madness Spread Betting & My ATS Pick

Is there a better March Madness underdog story that the Georgia State Panthers heading into the 2015 NCAA Tournament betting season?

Incase you missed it, Panther’s head coach Ron Hunter tore his Achilles tendon while celebrating the team’s Sun Belt Conference championship earlier this month.

However, a feel good story won’t help Georgia State to overcome an 8.5-point betting spread as they are huge underdogs as the 14th-seed going up against the third-seeded Baylor Bears, who have torn their opponents to shreds as of late.

A Closer Look At The Georgia St. Vs Baylor March Madness Spread Betting & Analyzing My ATS Pick

Matchup: (14) Georgia State Panthers vs (3) Baylor Bears
Date: Mar. 19, 2015 
Start Time: 1:40 p.m. ET 
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Stadium: Veterans Memorial Arena
TV Info: TBS
Stream: March Madness Live
Radio: Georgia State Vs Baylor
Point Spread: Bears -8.5

Georgia State Will Cover the 8.5-point Spread If

The Panthers keep putting up shots like they have all season.

Georgia State may not be well-known to most basketball handicappers. The Panthers play in the Sun Belt, a conference that doesn’t often produce NCAA Tournament contenders. Georgia State garnered its NCAA bid by beating Georgia Southern 38 to 36.

That may not imply that the Panthers have a very good offense. But, Georgia State does. In fact, the Panthers offense is one of the best based on shooting percentage in the field. Georgia State shoots 48% from the field. The team averages 72 points per game. The Panthers have scored 72 points or more in 6 out of their last 8 matchups. They’ve scored 79 points or more in 4 out of their last 8. If the offense is clicking like it usually is versus Baylor, Georgia State should cover the spread. 

Georgia State March Madness Starting lineup

  • G R.J. Hunter, 6-6, Jr., 20.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg
  • G Kevin Ware, 6-2, Jr., 7.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg
  • G Ryann Green, 6-1, Sr., 3.5 ppg, 1.9 rpg
  • F Markus Crider, 6-6, Jr., 9.8 ppg, 6.7 rpg
  • F 42 Curtis Washington, 6-10, Sr., 5.2 ppg, 4.1 rpg
  • Coach: Ron Hunter (fourth season)

Baylor Will Cover the 8.5-point Spread If

The Bears don’t try to match Georgia State shot for shot.

Baylor has the ability to run with any team in the nation. The Bears have some great players on their team. They could try and run with Georgia Southern. But, when Baylor is most effective, they are playing a methodical offensive tempo and great defense.

Baylor should try and utilize their terrific defense. The Bears allow only 60 points per game on average from 40% shooting from the floor. Opponents shoot only 30% from behind the arc versus the Bears. Baylor’s D will be most effective if it pushes Georgia State’s shooters beyond the three-point line since the Panthers are good on only 33.3% of their shots from beyond the arc. If Baylor let’s Georgia State take shots from inside the three-point line, they could end up letting this game be much closer than it should be.

Baylor also needs to be patient on offense. They need to work for their shot and just trust that, eventually, Georgia State is going to start taking bad shots when the Bears are on defense.

Baylor Bears March Madness Starting lineup

  • G Kenny Cherry, 5-11, Sr., 11.3 ppg, 4.0 apg
  • G Royce O’Niel, 6-6, Sr., 10.0 ppg, 5.9 rpg
  • G Taurean Prince, 6-7, Jr., 14.0 ppg, 5.5 apg
  • F Rico Gathers, 6-9, Jr., 11.6 ppg, 11.7 rpg
  • F Johnathan Motley, 6-9, Fr., 7.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg
  • Coach: Scott Drew (12th season)

Final Score Prediction – Baylor Bears 62, Georgia State Panthers 50