The Historical Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends & Stats

The Historical Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends & Stats

Posted on | by Rachel Garcia

Less than a week ago, 68 teams cashed in their invitations to the big dance. Now sixteen teams remain to gut it out for a shot at becoming the national NCAA Men’s Basketball champion.

Sweet Sixteen is set to begin on Thursday, March 27 with the following games:

Thursday, March 27

  • 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS: (4) UCLA+5 vs. (1) Florida, 137
  • 7:47 p.m. ET, TBS: (11) Dayton+2.5 vs. (10) Stanford, 133
  • 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS: (6) Baylor+3 vs. (2) Wisconsin, 136.5
  • 10:17 p.m. ET, TBS: (4) San Diego State+6 vs. (1) Arizona, 122.5

Friday, March 28

  • 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS: (7) Connecticut+1 vs. (3) Iowa State, 146.5
  • 7:27 p.m. ET, TBS: (4) Michigan State-1 vs. (1) Virginia, 126
  • 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS: (11) Tenneesee+1.5 vs. (2) Michigan, 131
  • 9:57 p.m. ET, TBS: (8) Kentucky+5 vs. (4) Louisville, 138.5

The Historical Sweet Sixteen Betting Trends & Stats

  • According to ESPN, since ’09, more No. one seeds have lost in Sweet 16 (6) than have made the Final Four (5).
  • 28 of the past 30 seasons have had at least one double-digit seed in the Sweet Sixteen. This year Dayton and Stanford have made it. The 11th and 10th seeds respecitvely.
  • This will be jus the 2nd time a No. 11 vs No 10 have met in the Sweet Sixteen since 1996 when No. 11 VCU beat FSU in 2011.
  • Underdogs are 12-4 against the spread in the last two tournaments in the Sweet 16, and 17-7 against the spread in the last three tournaments.
  • The higher-seeded teams are 49-23 straight up during the last nine seasons, but they are just 28-39-5 against the spread.
  • The top seeds are 12-4 SU in the last 16 games vs. four seeds, in this round.
  • The top seeds are 2-5 ATS in seven games over the past two tournaments in this round.
  • Favorites of seven or more points in the spread are 22-1 straight up (12-11 against the spread) in the sweet sixteen, with the only loss coming from Duke in 2002 against Indiana.
  • The only time since 1996 that a 4 was the favorite vs. a 1, was when No. 4 Louisville beat Washington in 2005. Michigan State is a 4 point favorite over the Virginia Cavaliers in Friday’s game.
  • In 2013, No. 4 seeds went 2-1 straight up against top seeds
  • Since 2002, No. two seeds are 8-1 SU vs. No. six seeds. However, the No. six seeds are 7-3 ATS past 10 games vs. two seeds.
  • Since 2000, No. 8 seeds have played No. 4 seeds three times and won all three
  • Since 2002, No 2 seeds are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS since 11 seeds