Are the Baylor Bears a smart NCAAB

Kansas Vs Baylor Line & Expert Pick

One of the top marquee games of the weekend will go down in the Big 12 when the Kansas Jayhawks visit the Baylor Bears. The NCAA hoops line favors the hometown Bears by 2.5-points to beat the Jayhawks. Tip-off is this Saturday, February 15th at 1:00 PM ET on CBS from the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas.

Kansas Jayhawks Vs Baylor Bears Line & Expert Pick

What: No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks (23-3) at No. 4 Baylor Bears (22-4)
When: Saturday, February 18, 2017
Start Time: 1;00 PM ET  
Where: Waco, Texas
Stadium: Ferrell Center
Spread: Baylor -2.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Kansas vs Baylor

Why Bet The Kansas Jayhawks To Beat The Bears

Kansas has won their last three games in a row, including a cardiac inducing comeback win against West Virginia (84-80) in a midweek tilt. They are 23-3 SU and 13-11-1 ATS this season. They average 83.5 points per game (Tied-17th) and allow 72.4 per game (185th).

The Jayhawks shoot 48.9% from the field (15th) and 41.3% from three-point land (6th). Kansas trailed West Virginia by 14 points with four minutes left in the game. Enter Senior guard Frank Mason III (20.2 PPG & 4.9 APG) and Junior guard Devonte Graham (13.2 PPG & 4.3 APG) who finished the game with 24 points and 18 points respectively.

"We just talked about staying in it. `We can do it.’ Coach kept telling us we were going to step up and make plays," Graham said later, "and everybody stepped up and made plays."

Kansas averages 39.6 rebounds (Tied-27th), 16.3 assists (36th) and 7.31 steals per game. They have a +11.1 point differential. Senior forward Landen Lucas leads the team with 8.4 rebounds and freshman guard Josh Jackson is tops with 1.8 steals.

Why Bet The Baylor Bears To Beat The Jayhawks

The Baylor Bears are 22-4 SU and 13-11 ATS this season after losing to Texas Tech (84-78) in their last outing. They average 74.0 points per game (Tied-166th) and allow 62.2 points per game (11th).

The Bears shoot 47.8% from the field (34th) and 35.6% from three point land (161st). Junior forward Terry Maston (7.6 PPG & 4.0 RPG) scored 22 points coming off the bench against the Red Raiders but it wasn’t enough. Junior forward Johnathan Motley (16.7 PPG & 9.5 RPG) who is the team’s leading scorer was held to just 11 points.

"People look at a number and they see (No. 4) and they see non-ranked and they think there’s a big difference," Baylor coach Scott Drew said. "Coaches know there’s not a big difference. These are one-possession games. A one-possession league."

Baylor averages 37.7 rebounds (88th), 16.0 assists (Tied-51s) and 5.35 steals per game. They have a +11.8 point differential. Motley leads the team with 9.5 rebounds per game and senior guard Ishmail Wainright is tops with 1.8 steals.

If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On:

  • Kansas is 3-5 ATS on the road, 1-1 ATS as an underdog or PK, 0-0 when the spread was -1 to +3.5.
  • Baylor is 1-5 ATS at home, 3-7 ATS as a favorite, 0-1 when the spread was -3.5 to +1.
  • Kansas has won nine of the las ten games against Baylor
  • Kansas is 7-3 ATS in the last ten games against Baylor.

Kansas Jayhawks Vs Baylor Bears Pick

In the teams’ first matchup, a five-point win for the Jayhawks on Feb. 1, Kansas accrued 27 free throw attempts to Baylor’s six.

Kansas’ personnel and style will problems for Baylor. In another close game, Kansas will possess the advantages to seal the win late, but I am betting on Baylor to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs.

Bet Baylor to cover the spread.

Sources:
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/239/baylor-bears
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/game?gameId=400916246