What Florida State freshman sensation Xavier Rathan-Mayes can do for an encore? We will find out today when Rathan-Mayes’ Seminoles host Rick Pitino’s 4-point favorite Louisville Cardinals at noon in Tallahassee, Florida.
All eyes will be on Rathan-Mayes, the Seminoles freshman single-season scoring leader who is coming off a memorable scoring burst: 30 points in the in the final 4:38 of Wednesday’s game against Miami. He scored 26 straight points without missing a shot and was 8-of-9 from the free throw line, missing one intentionally.
— FSU Men's Basketball (@FSU_MBasketball) February 26, 2015
— NCAA March Madness (@marchmadness) February 26, 2015
In final 4:38 last night, FSU's Xavier Rathan-Mayes scored more points than 7 D-I teams did in a game this season: pic.twitter.com/QjkodRqEcC
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) February 26, 2015
There have been 7 teams this season that failed to score 30 pts in a game. FSU's Xavier Rathan-Mayes scored 30 in the final 4:38. @ESPNCBB
— Jay Williams (@RealJayWilliams) February 26, 2015
Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is still amazed, and he has been patrolling collegiate sidelines for more than three decades.
“I’m still having a hard time wracking my brain around it,” said Hamilton, adding that Rathan-Mayes “has only scratched the surface of his potential.”
Analyzing The Louisville at Florida St Odds & My Final Score Prediction
Matchup: (17) Louisville Cardinals at Florida State Seminoles
Date: Feb. 28, 2015
Start Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Location: Tallahassee, Florida
Stadium: Donald L. Tucker Center
TV Info: ESPN
Radio: Louisville Vs Florida State
Point Spread: Louisville Cardinals -4
Louisville Will Cover the 4-point Spread If
Terry Rozier and Montrezl Harrell have the two-man game going.
The best two man game in college basketball might be guard Terry Rozier and Montrezl Harrell. Rozier leads the Cardinals in points per game at 17.6 and assists per game at 2.5. Harrell leads the team in rebounds per game at 9.5.
When Rozier and Harrell are both effective, the Cardinals have a tendency to cover against the spread. For example, versus Virginia, Harrell recorded 12 points and 6 boards while Rozier recorded 16 points, 5 boards and 5 assists. Louisville lost to the Cavaliers by only 5 points as a 7 point road dog. It was actually a very good game for the Cardinals. But when only one is playing well, like in a recent game versus Miami-Florida where Rozier scored only 6 points while Harrell scored 21, Louisville finds it difficult to cover. The Cardinals only beat Miami-Florida 55 to 53 as -8.5 point home favorite.
MBB: Louisville Travels to Florida State http://t.co/9ItbDirCRm
— Louisville Athletics (@GoCards) February 27, 2015
Florida State Will Cover the 4-point Spread If
The Seminoles can hit their offensive averages versus the Cardinals.
This will be the first meeting on the basketball court between Florida State and Louisville. No doubt, the Cardinals figure to be road favorites by the time they kick this one off. That shouldn’t bother Florida State because if the Seminoles just hit their averages on offense, or even if they just get close to their averages, they should be in a position for the win, much less cover the spread.
The Seminoles average 65 points per game off of 46% shooting from the field. Louisville only allows 59 points and 38% shooting from the field. The Cardinals have an excellent defense, which means that if Florida State is close to their averages, there is a strong likelihood that the Seminoles will either have the lead in the game or will be in position to at least cover the spread. FSU should remember their averages and work towards getting as close to the averages as possible against the tough Cardinals’ defense.