LSU at Arkansas Betting Spread, ATS Pick & TV Info

LSU at Arkansas Betting Spread, ATS Pick & TV Info

The 18th-ranked Arkansas Hogs are two games ahead of third-placers Ole Miss and Texas A&M and assured to finish second behind only SEC champion and the undefeated, top-ranked Kentucky Wildcats. The Razorbacks will face the LSU Tigers face-off for the first time this season in their regular-season finale at 2 PM ET today on ESPN.

Matchup: LSU Tigers at (18) Arkansas Razorbacks
Date: Mar. 7, 2015 
Start Time: 2:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
Stadium: Bud Walton Arena
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: LSU Vs Arkansas
View All College Basketball Betting Odds
Point Spread: Arkansas -6.5

LSU Will Cover the 6.5-point Spread If

The Tigers can get balanced scoring from their starters.

The last time that LSU faced Arkansas was on Feb. 15, 2014. Arkansas won that game 81 to 70. In that matchup, Johnny O’Bryant III, who no longer plays for LSU, scored 20 points. Andre Stringer, who also doesn’t play for the Tigers any more, scored 13 points. LSU had nobody else on their team that was in double-figures.

If the Tigers hope to cover the spread against Arkansas in the 2015 matchup with their biggest rivals, they’re going to have to have balanced scoring on offense. All five starters:  Jordan Mickey, Jarell Martin, who leads the team with 16.6 points per game, Tim Quarterman, Keith Hornsby and Jalyn Patterson, all have the ability to score at least 10 points in this game. The Tigers need to find the open man and feed that open man the ball. If they can keep Arkansas double-teaming  Mickey and Martin, which means that the guards are hitting shots, LSU could win this game straight up in addition to covering ATS.

Arkansas Will Cover the 6.5-point Spread If

Arkansas can hit their usual numbers versus a tough LSU’s D.

In the 2014 matchup, Arkansas was hot from the field and from behind the arc. The Razorbacks scored 81 points by shooting 45.8% from the field by hitting 27 out of 59 shots. The Hogs were blistering from behind the three-point line. They hit 10 out of 17 for 58.8%.

Arkansas shouldn’t expect to be that good versus this LSU defense, though. LSU’s D is allowing only 66.8 points per game off of 39.6% shooting from the field and 30.8% shooting from the three-point line. What it means is that in order to cover the spread, Arkansas should look to hit their averages offensively. That means that the Razorbacks have to shoot at least 45.1% from the field and 36% from behind the three-point line. They should also work towards scoring at least 80 points in this game. If this becomes a defensive battle, LSU might do enough to win the game out right.

My College Hoops ATS Pick – LSU Tigers 69, Arkansas Razorbacks 66