While gunning for their fifth consecutive victory, the No. 18 Razorbacks host the 17-point underdog Missouri Tigers who will tie a team record of 12 straight losses if they can’t beat Arkansas Wednesday night at the Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas.
Analyzing The Missouri at Arkansas Betting Spread, My ATS Pick & How To Watch
Matchup: Missouri Tigers at (18) Arkansas Razorbacks
Date: Feb. 18, 2015
Start Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
Stadium: Bud Walton Arena
TV Info: SECN
Radio: Missouri Vs Arkansas
Missouri Will Cover the Spread If
The Tigers can play great defense like they did in the first game.
In the first game between these two, on January 24, 2015, Missouri played too well to lose. The Tigers lost by a single point, 61 to 60, as a +5.5 point home dog. Missouri played as well as possible and did enough to win the game, but things just didn’t go their way.
J3's highest scoring game as a freshman was 14 points. This season, he's done that or more 12 different times. pic.twitter.com/XGo7SCJz9M
— Mizzou Basketball (@MizzouHoops) February 15, 2015
In that matchup, Missouri’s defense held Arkansas to a ridiculously bad 36.5% from the field in a 23 out of 63 shooting night. The Razorbacks hit only 4 three-pointers out of 16 for 25%. Arkansas usually shoots 45.3% from the field and 35.7% from the three-point line. The Razorbacks average 80 points per game. Missouri is going to need a defensive effort as close as possible to the brilliant effort in the last game in order to cover the spread in the rematch.
Arkansas Will Cover the Spread If
Arkansas can run and gun like they normally do.
Arkansas is a run and gun team. The Razorbacks love to get out in transition and shoot the rock. But there is a difference between running and gunning and taking bad shots. Against Auburn, as an example, Arkansas ran their way to 101 points off of 53.8% shooting from the field and 47.8% shooting from behind the three-point line.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) February 16, 2015
In the first game versus Missouri this season, though, the Razorbacks didn’t run and gun. They took bad shots. They actually took a lot of bad shots and almost lost the game straight up. Arkansas has to force the pace, but they also have to be smart about it versus the Tigers in the rematch. Missouri has a terrible record, 7 and 17 straight up, but they covered the spread versus Arkansas in the last game. The Tigers also covered the spread versus Kentucky in their second game against the Wildcats. What it means is that Missouri has a tendency to step it up defensively when they face the very best in the SEC. Arkansas has to run and gun, but they can’t take too many bad shots if they hope to cover the spread versus Missouri.