Do the 8th-seeded NC State Wolfpack have another upset in the cards this Friday when they square off against the 4th-seeded and 2-point favorite Louisville Cardinals in the Sweet 16? March Madness betting underdogs are 21-10-1 against the spread in Sweet 16 games over the last four NCAA tournaments.
Analyzing The NC State Wolfpack Vs Louisville Cardinals Sweet Sixteen Point Spread, My ATS Pick & TV Info
Matchup: (8) NC State Wolfpack vs (4) Louisville Cardinals
Date: Mar. 27, 2015
Start Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
Location: Syracuse, New York
Stadium: Carrier Dome
TV Info: TBS
Stream: March Madness Live
Radio: NC State Vs Louisville
Point Spread: Cardinals -2
Game Total: 130
NC State Wolfpack NCAA Tournament Starting lineup
- G Trevor Lacey, 6-3, Jr., 15.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg
- G Ralston Turner, 6-5, Sr., 13.2 ppg, 3.3 rpg
- G Anthony Barber, 6-2, So., 12.1 ppg, 3.8 apg
- F Kyle Washington, 6-9, So., 6.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg
- F Lennard Freeman, 6-8, So., 3.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg
- Coach: Mark Gottfried (fourth season)
Louisville Projected March Madness Starting Lineup:
- G Terry Rozier, 6-1, So., 17.0 ppg, 5.4 rpg
- G Quentin Snider 6-2, Fr., 3.2 ppg, 1.3 rpg
- F Montrezl Harrell, 6-8, Jr., 15.8 ppg, 9.4 rpg
- F Wayne Blackshear, 6-5, Sr., 10.7 ppg, 4.3 rpg
- C Chinanu Onuaku, 6-10 Fr., 3.4 ppg, 4.9 rpg
- Coach: Rick Pitino (14th season)
These two squads are fresh off a head-to-head tilt on Valentine’s Day just over a month ago with a 74-65 win by NC State. The Wolfpack covered the spread as 10.5 point underdogs, and the game total went over the 132.5 points set by the college hoops oddsmakers.
NC State finished the season at 20-13 , 16-13-1 against the spread, and knocked out the LSU Tigers (66-65) and the top-seeded Villanova Wildcats (71-68) in the first two rounds of the 2015 March Madness tournament. The Wolfpack averages 70.4 points per game (95th), 11.6 assists per game (256th), shoots 43.7% from the field (163rd), with junior guard Trevor Lacey (15.7 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 3.5 APG) and senior guard Ralston Turner (12.8 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 1.0 APG) leading the way. Their defense allows 65.5 PPG (143th) and grabs 37.8 rebounds per game (31st).
"We came out today with the feeling that everybody expected us to lose to a 1-seed, but we believe in ourselves and that we’re good enough to beat anybody in the country, and we went down and did it,” NC State sophomore Beejay Anya said after beating Villanova.
Louisville posted a 24-8 regular season record, 12-18-1 against the spread record and beat the UC Irvine Anteaters (57-55), and Northern Iowa Panthers (66-53), with a 1-1 ATS mark in those NCAA tourney games. The Cards average 69.2 points per game (130th), 11.7 assists per game (251st), shooting 42.9% from the field (211th). They are led by sophomore guard Terry Rozier (17.1 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.8 APG) and junior forward Montrezl Harrell (15.7 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 1.3 APG). Louisville’s defense averages 59.5 points per game against (23rd) and 38.2 rebounds (22nd).
"Tonight, we played our best game of the season," Cardinals coach Rick Pitino said. "We had to rally around it. We have a short bench. But these guys don’t take a play off, and that’s unusual in this world."
The Wolfpack are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 Friday games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games, 20-9 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as a favorite, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 neutral site games, but 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.