North Carolina Vs Duke Odds, Final Score Prediction & Viewing GuideJosh Bailey
Welcome to the biggest game of the regular 2014-15 college basketball betting season as the North Carolina Tar Heels head down Tabacco Road to take on their "til death do us part" rivals the Duke Blue Devils.
North Carolina (18-7, 8-4 ACC) is in a bit of a rough patch and the death of legendary coach Dean Smith has put a dent in the Tar Heels big dance dreams. On the other side, Duke (22-3, 9-3 ACC) has been on a roll and the Blue Devils are peaking just in time for the madness to being.
An Insider’s Look At The UNC Vs Duke Odds, My Final Score Prediction & Viewing Guide
Matchup: (15) North Carolina Tar Heels at (4) Duke Blue Devils
Date: Feb. 18, 2015
Start Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
Location: Durham, North Carolina
Stadium: Cameron Indoor Stadium
TV Info: ESPN
Radio: North Carolina Vs Duke
Point Spread: Duke Blue Devils -8.5
In the last 87 meetings, North Carolina leads Duke, 44-43
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) February 16, 2015
North Carolina Will Cover the Spread If
The Tar Heels can keep Duke from dominating the boards.
Granted, the last time that North Carolina faced Duke it was 2014 and the two teams had different players, but the fact remains, Duke dominated North Carolina on the glass in the Blue Devils’ 93 to 81 victory. Duke grabbed 33 total rebounds in that matchup to North Carolina’s 18. That’s a huge difference.
— GoHeelsTV (@GoHeelsTV) February 17, 2015
Not only did the Dookies grab more boards, but they also dominated on the offensive glass. Duke grabbed 14 offensive rebounds in that game. North Carolina only had 5. The Tar Heels have to rebound the basketball, particularly on the offensive glass, if they have any hope of covering the spread in this matchup. Duke is too good of a shooting team to give second chances too. If the Tar Heels can’t get second chance shots when they’re on offense, they won’t cover the spread.
Duke Will Cover the Spread If
Jahlil Okafor gets a double-double.
Duke is starting to rely more on its 3 top offensive players outside of Okafor, team captain Quinn Cook, point-guard Tyus Jones and Justise Wilson, but Okafor needs to have a great game against North Carolina for Duke to cover the spread.
Jahlil Okafor became the 4th freshman in Duke history with double-digit 20 point games » pic.twitter.com/Qo0Sy74BLg
— ESPN College BBall (@ESPNCBB) February 15, 2015
North Carolina isn’t very deep. What it means is that if Okafor is dominating Brice Johnson, North Carolina’s top interior player, in the paint, Duke should be able to coast to a cover against the spread. Okafor scored only 13 points and grabbed only 4 rebounds versus Florida State. He can’t produce a game like that versus North Carolina or Duke will be in danger of not only failing to cover the spread but of losing the game straight up as well. If Okafor can get a double-double in the game, Dukes chance of covering the spread go up by quite a bit because it means that Brice Johnson for North Carolina isn’t doing his job on the defensive end.
Not only that, but Okafor’s effectiveness will open things up for the other 3 scorers: Jones, Wilson and Cook. When Jones, Wilson and Cook are scoring, Duke is very difficult to beat.