New Mexico State vs Baylor Line & Free Pick

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor: Game Odds, Preview, Prediction

The Oklahoma State Cowboys ride into Waco, Texas to face the 19th-ranked Baylor Bears tonight at Ferrell Center. The Bears are 7 point favorites and the total is 124.5. ESPNU will broadcast the game live at 7pm ET and the matchup will be streamed live on ESPN U.

After upsetting Big 12 leader and 8th-ranked Kansas by a score of 67-62, Oklahoma State would like to continue a strong push towards an invitation to this years March Madness battle with a historic third straight victory over a ranked opponent and its first sweep of Baylor in nine years.

A Closer Look At The Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Game Odds, Preview & My Final Score Prediction

Matchup: Oklahoma State Cowboys at (19) Baylor Bears
Date: Feb. 9, 2015 
Start Time: 7:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Waco, Texas
Stadium: Ferrell Center
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: Oklahoma State Vs Baylor
Point Spread: Baylor -7
Game Total: 124.5

Oklahoma State Will Cover the 7-point Spread If

The Cowboys can hold Baylor to under 38% shooting.

This is going to be one heck of a defensive battle on Monday night. Both teams have lock down, I dare you to battle me, defenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allows 59.7 points and 38.6% shooting from the field each game.

In the first game versus Baylor, a 64 to 53 Cowboys’ victory, Oklahoma State kept the Bears to 34.5% shooting. In that matchup, Baylor was good for only 19 out of 55 shots. The Bears were good on 6 out of 20 three-point shots for 30%. If the defense is that strong again, Oklahoma State figures to keep this matchup close enough to cover the spread.

The Cowboys will be an underdog versus Baylor on Monday night since they’re the road team. Holding Baylor to 38% shooting, that’s about 5% less than Baylor’s average shooting percentage, is the best way to ensure an ATS cover.

Baylor Will Cover the 7-point Spread If

The Bears play like they usually do at home.

Baylor is a different team on their home court. The Bears have gone 3 and 1 against the spread in their last 4 games and all 3 victories ATS were home games. While Baylor’s average points scored per matchup is 69.5 and average field goal percentage per game is 42.8, at home, Baylor is much better offensively.

The Bears beat Texas 83 to 60 in a home contest as a -2.5 points favorite by shooting 48.4% from the field and 54.5% from behind the arc. Versus TCU, like Texas another very good defensive-minded Big 12 rival, the Bears shot 49.1%, hitting 26 out of 53 shots, and 50% from behind the arc in a 6 for 12 performance. If the Bears shoot anywhere close to 50% from the field, they’ll easily cover the spread as the favorite on Monday.

Final Score Prediction – Baylor Bears 76, Oklahoma State Cowboys 62