There’s a lot to like about each of the Final Four contenders, but if you have half a brain you’ll be picking the Kentucky Wildcats to make it to the NCAA Championship Finals just like me. The Wildcats own a -2.0 point handicap as they prep for the Badgers this coming Saturday night. Connecticut might have the best player, Florida might be the best team and Wisconsin has the most diversity.
But make no mistake about it – Kentucky is flat out the most talented.
I’ve written a bit over the last few weeks about how great the Wildcats have been lately. They’re 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS during their post season run, losing only to the Florida Gators by a single point. Their arrival in the conference finals was a big shock to the gambling community. Even if you’re not picking the Kentucky Wildcats to make to the NCAA Championship Finals, you’ll be anything but surprised if and when they do.
NCAA Championship Finals Odds
- Florida Gators -120
- Kentucky Wildcats +280
- Wisconsin Badgers +400
- UConn Huskies +700
You can say a lot of things about John Calipari’s coaching style, but he has a knack for getting the best players and then the most out of them. One of the problems with this Wildcats team is that there were too many alpha dogs trying to figure out how to play with each other. So Calipari made it simple – attack the basket with relentless fury fueled by your prodigal gifts and you’ll be fine. So far, so good.
Part of the reason that it’s hard to pick the Kentucky Wildcat s to make it to the NCAA Championship Finals has less to do with the obstacle standing in their immediate way. Wisconsin is a very good team, but what’s worrisome about Kentucky is that they haven’t played like this for any length of time at any point this season. There’s a reason they went from 1st to 25th in the rankings throughout the year. At some point, the bow will be break. That’s why this line is so tight in spite of all the specific matchup problems that Kentucky gives Wisconsin. As they say, “kids will be kids”.
However, there’s been a resiliency to Kentucky’s game that has been tested too often by too many great teams. Beating Michigan, Louisville, Wichita State and Kansas State by an average of just +4.3 points isn’t exactly confidence inducing. That’s a totally fair assessment because somewhere along the line a blowout should’ve happened and Kentucky has long been on the wrong side of a lopsided affair.
Kentucky began the year as the team to beat, and when it’s mattered most they’ve reclaimed that position to a very strong degree. I’m not just picking the Kentucky Wildcats to make it to the NCAA Championship Finals…I have them winning the whole damn thing.