SMU at Houston Betting Spread, ATS Pick & How To Watch

SMU at Houston Betting Spread, ATS Pick & How To Watch

The 25th-ranked Southern Methodist University Mustangs stampede into Houston to take on ACC rivals and 10.5 point underdog the Houston Cougars.

On the strength of an 8 game winning streak that ended with a 62-54 loss to Cincinnati last Thursday, SMU was voted back to the Top 25 last week and the Houston Cougars should be a cake walk for Larry Brown’s Mustangs tonight.

SMU at Houston Betting Spread, ATS Pick & How To Watch

Matchup: No. 25 SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars
Date: Feb. 12, 2015 
Start Time: 9:00 p.m. ET 
Location: Houston, Texas
Stadium: Hofheinz Pavilion
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio:  SMU Vs Houston
Point Spread: -10.5

SMU Will Cover the Spread If

The lockdown SMU D is in full effect.

Southern Methodist is one team that knows how to play defense. With legendary Larry Brown at the helm, the Mustangs are as good of a defensive team as you’re likely to see in all of college hoops not named Kentucky or Virginia.

The Mustangs allow 58.8 points per game on average. In the first matchup versus Houston, SMU allowed 59 points. The Mustangs allow 37.6% from the field. Versus Houston in the first game, SMU allowed 35.2% from the field, which means that the SMU D was better than it usually is in that first matchup against the Cougars. Houston shot a ridiculous 29 three-pointers. They connected on only 9 of those for a terrible 31%. If the Mustangs can repeat that defensive effort in this matchup, they’ll be able to dominate Houston again.

Houston Will Cover the Spread If

Houston’s offense can be smarter than it was in the last game.

Houston’s straight up record is a terrible 9 and 13 because it’s got a bad offense and just an okay defense. The offense is really terrible. It averages 65.2 points per game and shoots only 38.4% from the field. From behind the arc, the Cougars shoot a terrible 31.4% on average.

Since the three-point shooting percentage is so bad in general, why did Houston take 29 shots from behind the arc against SMU in the last game? If you know that, as a team, you can’t hit three-point shots, why aren’t you using the 35 second clock to work for a higher percentage shot? Houston took 2 more shots overall, 54 to 52, than SMU and almost half of those shots were three-pointers. That’s ridiculous. The Cougars have to work harder to get a good shot if they hope to have any chance of covering the spread.

My College Hoops Free ATS Betting Pick – SMU Mustangs 76, Houston Cougars 54