Simply put, I believe the Sweet Sixteen betting line for Friday‘s East regional semifinal meeting between No. 7 UConn and No. 3 Iowa State is offering the best value of any March Madness game on the board currently.
You see, both teams in this contest are playing solid basketball right now, but one is much more of a legitimate national title contender than the other if you ask me.
Let’s get started with the betting breakdown on Friday’s semifinal matchup.
Why UConn Will Win This Regional Semifinal
The Huskies will win this game because their fearless floor leader, Shabazz Napier is one of the best five players in the nation and has been playing lights out basketball. Napier led the Huskies in scoring, rebounding and assists, which is an incredible feat for any point guard at any level or program. Napier has averaged 24.5 points per game in the NCAA Tournament so far.
Could the Huskies Go…All the Way?
I guess they could, but I can’t see the Wolverines beating the winner of the highly-anticipated Louisville-Kentucky matchup to even each the Final Four, but with Napier being on a red-hot roll that is very reminiscent of the one former floor leader Kemba Walker put on a few years back, again, I guess it’s possible.
Why Iowa State Will Win This Regional Semifinal
Iowa State will win this affair because they’re far more experienced and cohesive than the Huskies. The third-seeded Cyclones averaged a whopping 83.5 points per game during the regular season while also ranking 29th in the nation in field goal shooting percentage (47.5). Iowa State also has two superstar kind of players in forward Melvin Ejim and guard (18.1 ppg) DeAndre Kane (17.1 ppg).
Could the Cyclones Go…All the Way?
Yes they could go all the way; Iowa State has been one of the best teams in the country all season long and still have the look of a legitimate March Madness title contender despite losing important forward Georges Niang.
And the Winner Is…
Iowa State wins this one and wins it handily college basketball bettors. UConn has been on a very nice roll and looked absolutely phenomenal in dispatching No. 2 Villanova in its last contest. However, the Huskies have also taken three losses to Louisville and a pair to SMU, including one 81-48 loss to the Cardinals on March 8 in which they looked about as competent as a middle school team.
The UConn Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, but Iowa State has posted a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in their last four NCAA Tournament games while also going an unblemished 5-0 ATS in their L/5 neutral site games.
The Iowa State Cyclones have the edge in scoring ability, rebounds and three-point shooting and should win this contest by a half-dozen points at the very least.