The Longhorns are ranked 25th in the nation but are losers of 4 straight. Will K-State push that number to 5 and force Texas to tumble out of the national rankings?
The Texas Longhorns (14-8, 3-6 Big 12) have dropped four of five matchups against top 25 teams, including the first three games on this four-game speed-bump and it looks like they will be in for a tough game against K-State (12-11, 5-5) today as the Wildcats have won seven of the last nine in the series, including four straight at home.
A Closer Look At The Texas at Kansas State Betting Spread & My Final Score Prediction
Matchup: (25) Texas Longhorns at Kansas State Wildcats
Date: Feb. 7, 2015
Start Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Location: Manhattan, Kansas
Stadium: Bramlage Coliseum
TV Info: ESPN
Radio: TexasVs Kansas State
Click here for Live College Hoops Odds
Texas Will Cover the Spread If
The Longhorns can dominate the paint.
Texas has an exceptionally talented front line led by senior Jonathan Holmes. But, Holmes can’t do it all by himself. He was brilliant versus Baylor when scoring 17 points and 6 boards. He did get some help from Cameron Ridley who grabbed 11 boards while scoring 12 points.
RT @TexasMBB: Injury update: Jon Holmes (concussion) is out for tomorrow's game at K-State. He did not make the trip to Manhattan.
— Texas Longhorns (@TexasSports) February 7, 2015
The key for the success of Texas’ front line and, therefore, the team rests with freshman Myles Turner. Turner laid an egg versus Baylor when scoring only 2 points and grabbing only 4 boards. He averages 11.4 points and close to 7 rebounds per game. Turner’s performance is one of the reasons that Texas lost 60 to 83. Turner will have to contribute and Holmes and Ridley are going to have to be as good as they were against Baylor for Texas to cover the spread in this matchup.
Kansas State Will Cover the Spread If
The Wildcats win the rebounding battle.
On average, the Longhorns out rebound their opponents 42.1 to 26.4. Texas is just an incredibly gifted rebounding team. Kanas State is going to have to find some way to close that gap.
— K-State Athletics (@kstatesports) February 7, 2015
The Wildcats only out rebound their opponents 31.9 to 26.9. If K-State can’t win the rebounding battle versus Texas, it’s likely that they will end up not covering the spread in this game. The reason is because Kansas State barely averages 2 more points, 65 to 63, than their opponents. The Wildcats allow opponents to average 43.8% from the field while they average only 45% on offense. They do not have an edge against Texas either offensively or defensively.
Their best chance of winning is to prevent the Longhorns from getting offensive rebounds while they try and get second chance points. That’s the only way for Kansas State to cover the spread against a team with a much better front line.