Texas Southern v Arizona NCAA Tourney Spread, My ATS Pick & How To BetJosh Bailey
It might be hard to take the 23-point underdog, 15th-seeded Texas Southern Tigers seriously as they take on the second-seeded Arizona Wildcats, but the Tigers are winners of eleven straight. That won’t be nearly enough to beat the Wildcats, but will it be enough to cover the NCAA Tournament betting spread?
Arizona has covered 4 in a row this season when favored by 20 or more points and are are playing lights out, riding a wave of unbreakable self-confidence into the Big Dance with 11 straight wins and a Pac-12 Tournament championship.
A Closer Look At Texas Southern v Arizona NCAA Tourney Betting Odds & Analyzing My Pick
The NCAA tourney oddsmakers are crushing on the Wildcats as evidenced by their 15/2 betting odds of becoming the national champ. Only Kentucky has better odds to win it all. The kicker is that the Wildcats weren’t given the top seed in the West Region – Wisconsin did.
Most profitable men's basketball programs last year of this year's tourney teams, according to government filings pic.twitter.com/i6EmQ2AbaA
— Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) March 16, 2015
Texas Southern’s odds to win March Madness are 500/1. A 15 seed is not going to run through the tournament and cut down the nets in Indianapolis. But they have toppled the No. 2 seed three times recently. In 2013, Florida Gulf Coast beat Georgetown and in 2012 it happened twice – Lehigh upset Duke and Norfolk State stunned Missouri.
Matchup: (15) Texas Southern Tigers vs (2) Arizona Wildcats
Date: Mar. 19, 2015
Start Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Location: Portland, Oregon
Stadium: Moda Center
TV Info: TNT
Stream: TNT Overtime
Radio: Texas Southern Vs Arizona
Point Spread: Wildcats -23
Texas Southern Will Cover the Spread If
The Tigers’ get bitten by a radioactive spider.
Texas Southern won the SWAC by pummeling its opponents with a fantastic offense. The Tigers scored 95 points in a 95 to 74 beat down over Alcorn State in their first game in the SWAC Tournament. They shot an incredible 57.4% from the field and 70%, 7 out of 10, from behind the three point line. In their next game versus Prairie View A&M, they scored 90 points after shooting 46.6% from the field and 50% from three.
Texas Southern has a great offense, but they can’t hope to have the same success against Arizona’s incredible defense like they had versus Prairie View A&M and Alcorn State. In order to cover the spread in this matchup, Texas Southern has to improve upon their defensive averages allowed. The Tigers allow 67.4 points per game off of 44% shooting from the field. If they allow Arizona to exceed those averages, they’ll be done for because of Arizona’s defense.
Texas Southern March Madness Starting Lineup
- G Madarious Gibbs, 6-1, Sr., 14.1 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg
- G Deverell Biggs, 6-1, Sr., 11.4 ppg, 3.2 rpg
- F Chris Thomas, 6-5, Jr., 12.6 ppg, 5.0 rpg
- F Malcom Riley, 6-5, Jr., 10.2 ppg, 6.5 rpg
- F Tonnie Collier, 6-8, Jr., 7.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg
- Coach: Mike Davis (third season)
Arizona Will Cover the Spread If
The Wildcats decide it "Showtime".
The Wildcats have one of the best defenses in the nation. Teams average only 58.6 points per game versus Arizona’s D. Opponents shoot only 39.2% from the field and less than 33% from the three-point line versus the Wildcats. Arizona’s defense is the reason that they are one of the few teams in the NCAA Tournament with a legitimate shot at beating Kentucky.
But, in order to cover a spread as a favorite higher than 20 points, which the Cats are in this matchup, Arizona will need to run and gun. Arizona did that versus Oregon in the Pac 12 Championship game. The Wildcats shot 54.4% from the field and 36.8% from three. They beat the Ducks 80 to 52. If the Wildcats have their running shoes on, and there is no reason to believe that they won’t, they should stomp Texas Southern by more than 30 points in this matchup.
Arizona Wildcats March Madness Starting Lineup
- G T.J. McConnell, 6-1, Sr., 9.6 ppg, 6.3 apg
- F Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, 6-7, So., 11.2 ppg, 6.5 rpg
- F Brandon Ashley, 6-9, Jr., 11.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg
- F Stanley Johnson, 6-7, Fr., 13.9 ppg, 6.6 rpg
- C Kaleb Tarczewski, 7-0, Jr., 9.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg
- Coach: Sean Miller (sixth season)